MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c065637e5e200c685a5a2b03ec46053eac1f54fd1612c7181bd6d1f24ba3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,178,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,260,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,178,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Guardians | 55c | 240,130$131,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,058.47 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 46c | 179,592$82,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,612.26 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Guardians | 54c | 110,000$59,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,100 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 56c | 105,770$59,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,195.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Tigers | 45c | 83,640$37,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,436.33 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Tigers | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Tigers | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Guardians | 65c | 40,043$26,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,948.94 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers | 56c | 37,094$20,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,732.44 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 46c | 37,000$17,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,020 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Tigers | 48c | 36,987$17,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,920 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers | 45c | 32,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 52c | 30,013$15,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,406.24 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Guardians | 43c | 30,013$12,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,107.54 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tigers | 45c | 26,529$11,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,938 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Tigers | 46c | 23,378$10,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,754 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Guardians | 54c | 22,169$11,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,197.92 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 52c | 12,345$6,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Tigers | 46c | 10,010$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Guardians | 54c | 10,003$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Tigers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Guardians | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tigers | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Guardians | 54c | 8,680$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.78 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tigers | 29c | 7,197$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.21 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Tigers | 50c | 6,714$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.49 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…8478backed Tigers | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 45c | 6,254$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f9cdbacked Tigers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Tigers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Tigers | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers | 45c | 5,334$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.27 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 1c | 5,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Guardians | 54c | 5,102$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.92 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Guardians | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…664bbacked Tigers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…a2dcbacked Guardians | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…66aabacked Tigers | 46c | 4,900$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tigers | 2c | 4,692$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…a6bcbacked Guardians | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…b69abacked Guardians | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…eb55backed Guardians | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…a403backed Tigers | 45c | 4,400$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Tigers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Tigers | 45c | 3,506$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.49 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…3c06backed Guardians | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Guardians | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Guardians | 44c | 3,347$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.2 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Guardians | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Guardians | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Tigers | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 42c | 3,218$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.36 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…8ea9backed Guardians | 55c | 3,005$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…6e06backed Tigers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Tigers | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers | 48c | 2,796$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 54c | 2,752$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigers | 42c | 2,750$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Guardians | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Tigers | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 1c | 2,445$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 54c | 2,440$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Guardians | 57c | 2,355$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Tigers | 45c | 2,187$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Tigers | 47c | 2,035$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Guardians | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…09bcbacked Tigers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 45c | 1,995$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.14 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…55aabacked Guardians | 55c | 1,981$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…24c6backed Tigers | 46c | 1,981$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…1b14backed Guardians | 55c | 1,949$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…eeb0backed Tigers | 46c | 1,948$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…b7febacked Guardians | 55c | 1,935$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…e835backed Tigers | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…6e75backed Tigers | 46c | 1,930$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…0272backed Guardians | 55c | 1,930$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…dbebbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,930$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…f489backed Tigers | 46c | 1,930$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…95dfbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 45c | 1,874$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 54c | 1,811$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 56c | 1,783$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.52 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…8fa6backed Guardians | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…d360backed Tigers | 46c | 1,699$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Guardians | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Tigers | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…ec80backed Tigers | 4c | 1,592$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…99ddbacked Tigers | 46c | 1,450$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 55c | 1,397$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.05 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Tigers | 36c | 1,376$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 44c | 1,356$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Tigers | 47c | 1,352$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.22 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.