NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bcf4088b4c42fed7fe66ac18deb422e6fe48138fc6c61d685069523bbb90929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Warriors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,628,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,701,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,628,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 976 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bucks | 41c | 550,129$226,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324,074.87 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 69c | 202,691$140,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,272.04 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 59c | 200,000$118,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,000 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Warriors | 59c | 116,666$68,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,832.94 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 73c | 92,430$67,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,474.2 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 43c | 79,999$34,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,399.61 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Warriors | 66c | 78,572$52,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,159.22 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 62c | 62,468$38,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,929.08 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Warriors | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Bucks | 28c | 49,969$13,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,011.67 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 45c | 49,470$22,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,125.22 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 35c | 47,887$16,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,174.61 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bucks | 56c | 44,164$24,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,490.77 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 35c | 43,185$15,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,070.52 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Bucks | 43c | 39,694$17,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,466.07 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 59c | 39,392$23,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,342.3 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bucks | 42c | 35,714$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,714.29 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 73c | 34,234$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,233.96 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bucks | 43c | 33,123$14,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,914 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 53c | 32,410$17,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,122.05 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks | 43c | 28,736$12,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,405.58 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 34c | 27,305$9,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,993.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 45c | 25,310$11,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,830.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Warriors | 72c | 23,000$16,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,559.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 35c | 21,790$7,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,620.16 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bucks | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Warriors | 63c | 20,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,499.86 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Bucks | 50c | 18,982$9,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,535.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Warriors | 73c | 17,735$12,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.22 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 69c | 17,730$12,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,177 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucks | 52c | 15,841$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.31 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 47c | 15,236$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.39 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Warriors | 59c | 15,136$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,930 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bucks | 43c | 15,116$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,616.28 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.92 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Bucks | 32c | 13,089$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.94 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Warriors | 51c | 12,648$6,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.61 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bucks | 33c | 12,511$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.5 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Warriors | 65c | 11,149$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.49 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 6c | 11,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 70c | 10,948$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,663.81 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Bucks | 59c | 10,092$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.96 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Warriors | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Warriors | 11c | 9,024$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…7875backed Warriors | 13c | 8,980$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…6895backed Warriors | 12c | 8,710$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 61c | 8,678$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.74 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Warriors | 64c | 8,094$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.13 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 41c | 8,039$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.21 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Warriors | 60c | 7,923$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.46 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Warriors | 68c | 7,891$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 72c | 7,882$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.67 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 58c | 7,244$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.82 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Warriors | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe989…ed95backed Bucks | 72c | 6,783$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 61c | 5,548$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.05 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bucks | 39c | 5,500$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.49 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Bucks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Warriors | 31c | 4,284$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.73 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 61c | 4,206$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.53 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Warriors | 59c | 4,200$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…c453backed Warriors | 73c | 4,073$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Bucks | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.96 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 42c | 3,992$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.92 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 53c | 3,819$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.3 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 64c | 3,749$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Warriors | 59c | 3,683$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.02 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bucks | 59c | 3,565$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.98 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Warriors | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Warriors | 59c | 3,420$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.8 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Warriors | 68c | 3,360$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.92 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 57c | 3,358$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.28 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…9527backed Warriors | 73c | 3,346$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Bucks | 43c | 3,302$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Bucks | 40c | 3,268$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Warriors | 64c | 3,124$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 3,121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Bucks | 34c | 3,097$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.02 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Warriors | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Warriors | 63c | 2,973$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.4 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,973$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Warriors | 66c | 2,822$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Warriors | 73c | 2,767$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.12 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Warriors | 73c | 2,725$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.69 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 49c | 2,702$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Bucks | 33c | 2,654$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.07 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Warriors | 60c | 2,609$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Bucks | 56c | 2,438$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Warriors | 62c | 2,421$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Warriors | 47c | 2,380$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 42c | 2,263$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Warriors | 62c | 2,176$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.97 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 30c | 2,097$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 44c | 2,050$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Warriors | 73c | 2,039$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.63 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Warriors | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Warriors | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Bucksthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Bucks won
- Warriors vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Warriors vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.