NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf76159e65549f9e28dc7fb5fbce5d74b629ee96706d9588192059d2abd1792b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Thunder | 50c | 39,476$19,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,632.26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 50c | 28,569$14,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,284.35 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Wizards | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Thunder | 50c | 17,234$8,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,655.07 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Thunder | 50c | 9,042$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 49c | 5,654$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Wizards | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d341backed Thunder | 48c | 4,357$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Thunder | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.78 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 63c | 1,127$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Thunder | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Wizards | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ac8fbacked Wizards | 52c | 752$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…7149backed Wizards | 52c | 736$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…991abacked Wizards | 52c | 724$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…e6c9backed Wizards | 52c | 684$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…0f70backed Wizards | 52c | 617$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 50c | 599.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.91 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 49c | 430.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…7691backed Wizards | 52c | 364$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…4b55backed Wizards | 52c | 357$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Thunder | 49c | 334.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Thunder | 45c | 325$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 240 | 55.4%133 W · 107 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Wizards | 51c | 195.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Thunder | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…a167backed Wizards | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Thunder | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…8124backed Wizards | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Thunder | 53c | 92.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Wizards | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wizards | 46c | 82.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 32c | 57.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Wizards | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Wizards | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Thunder | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…19e8backed Wizards | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd4…5d74backed Wizards | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…a3fbbacked Wizards | 51c | 41.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Wizards | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Wizards | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Wizards | 53c | 35.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…844cbacked Wizards | 53c | 31.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Thunder | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…ed1dbacked Thunder | 51c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe115…4641backed Wizards | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…e1d7backed Wizards | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…618cbacked Wizards | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Wizards | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…b792backed Wizards | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…8270backed Wizards | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf231…6b8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…6c5bbacked Wizards | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Wizards | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 50c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5096…6634backed Wizards | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…a766backed Wizards | 51c | 26.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…74adbacked Wizards | 52c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Wizards | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…b0dcbacked Wizards | 53c | 25.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07b…17cebacked Wizards | 53c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…3cd3backed Wizards | 51c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…3598backed Wizards | 53c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…e733backed Wizards | 51c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…fca4backed Wizards | 53c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed Wizards | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…3dedbacked Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…5311backed Wizards | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…01a4backed Wizards | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…6407backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…484abacked Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Wizards vs. ThunderThunder won
- Wizards vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.