NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c373d5a26fb52c6440e1aebd015cc8c05adccca0d1b7d41a0f27734fd0e15b

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Wizards, Thunder
Resolved: Oct 31, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $716,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $686,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa576…89a4backed Wizards	11c	52,500$5,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,750	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards	10c	30,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.97	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Wizards	11c	28,999$3,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,189.91	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wizards	11c	25,003$2,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,658.95	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards	10c	21,217$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.93	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wizards	1c	20,101$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.43	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.96	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Wizards	10c	15,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Wizards	5c	13,991$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.64	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards	1c	13,445$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.24	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Wizards	3c	10,361$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.82	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Wizards	9c	8,104$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Wizards	9c	7,485$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Wizards	12c	6,828$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.8	77	39%30 W · 47 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	5c	6,735$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.99	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Wizards	9c	6,412$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.11	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	7c	6,321$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.37	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	5c	5,894$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.46	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Wizards	11c	5,529$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.9	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	5,373$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Wizards	12c	5,177$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Wizards	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wizards	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Wizards	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards	2c	4,764$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.58	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	11c	4,100$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Wizards	12c	4,020$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.36	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Wizards	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.75	200	34%68 W · 132 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	3c	3,720$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.77	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Wizards	7c	3,500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Wizards	11c	3,300$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Wizards	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	174	44.3%77 W · 97 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Wizards	11c	2,859$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.49	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards	7c	2,329$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.93	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards	11c	2,327$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wizards	10c	2,029$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.58	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Wizards	7c	1,980$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f62…ac75backed Wizards	4c	1,600$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards	3c	1,534$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	163	25.2%41 W · 122 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f9…58c0backed Wizards	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d26…9466backed Wizards	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Wizards	14c	1,387$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Wizards	12c	1,364$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.31	504	53.8%271 W · 233 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51b3…3571backed Wizards	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500a…acd6backed Wizards	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…4691backed Wizards	11c	981.82$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95dd…90ecbacked Wizards	9c	920$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.2	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	50%24 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	3c	905.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Wizards	11c	900$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	252	36.9%93 W · 159 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d98…d376backed Wizards	12c	874.58$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.95	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	13c	861.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.56	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	2c	861$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards	3c	860.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Wizards	11c	850.73$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.58	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54db…e47bbacked Wizards	12c	839.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd008…9171backed Wizards	11c	727.27$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.37per pick	43cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Wizards	11c	726.3$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.63	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards	10c	665.69$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.57	246	34.1%84 W · 162 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674a…ad6cbacked Wizards	11c	590.91$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Wizards	12c	568.37$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.44	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb82…69adbacked Wizards	15c	556.33$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.2	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe333…b1e4backed Wizards	11c	550$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed0…515bbacked Wizards	5c	547.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Wizards	11c	510$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…2053backed Wizards	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…fb32backed Wizards	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Wizards	12c	489.51$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x71ed…c681backed Wizards	4c	480$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbef4…dbcdbacked Wizards	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Wizards	11c	400$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	248	35.1%87 W · 161 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Wizards	14c	391.4$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	111	29.7%33 W · 78 L	-9.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Wizards	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Wizards	10c	353$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.32	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Wizards	7c	350$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…59bdbacked Wizards	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+5.1wins	+0.18per pick	17cpaid	+130.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1544…6f27backed Wizards	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+52%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1171…ff19backed Wizards	4c	266.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wizards	11c	263.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfebb…79bcbacked Wizards	9c	250.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…57b4backed Wizards	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d97…f918backed Wizards	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	40cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x858a…c4bebacked Wizards	8c	246.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Wizards	10c	229.71$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	270	34.8%94 W · 176 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…45dfbacked Wizards	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46b…2b8fbacked Wizards	12c	225$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Wizards	7c	220$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	148	30.4%45 W · 103 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e0…6128backed Wizards	7c	219.01$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Wizards	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	141	41.1%58 W · 83 L	-10.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b06…449bbacked Wizards	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wizards	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Wizards	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	438	51.8%227 W · 211 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Thunderthis page
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Wizards vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event