MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e3e1ea447c7974f4f95fa393ffdb2fa79ba8659eec09f10f943c8ae76c768f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,073,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,295,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,073,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5681…e113backed Brewers | 50c | 385,675$192,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,090.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Brewers | 28c | 342,044$97,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,048.18 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Cubs | 71c | 191,943$137,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,771.69 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 32c | 103,891$33,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,128.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cubs | 50c | 93,599$46,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,799.62 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cubs | 68c | 81,580$55,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,931.49 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Cubs | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cubs | 50c | 56,672$28,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,335.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Brewers | 50c | 52,388$26,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,194 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers | 13c | 52,336$6,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,937.6 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cubs | 78c | 48,951$38,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,581.52 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 49c | 46,906$22,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 19c | 40,000$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406.34 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 71c | 32,718$23,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 50c | 32,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 51c | 25,235$12,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,365.65 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Cubs | 50c | 25,170$12,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,584.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cubs | 50c | 24,567$12,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,283.5 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cubs | 51c | 23,179$11,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,357.71 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brewers | 18c | 21,472$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.46 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 58c | 17,613$10,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.14 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cubs | 49c | 16,823$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,579.72 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 78c | 13,956$10,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Brewers | 59c | 11,924$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 68c | 10,836$7,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 24c | 10,052$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.68 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Brewers | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Cubs | 52c | 8,344$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.79 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Cubs | 58c | 7,399$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 51c | 7,300$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.01 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 16c | 7,003$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Cubs | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs | 50c | 6,449$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.72 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Cubs | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.97 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Brewers | 34c | 5,848$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Brewers | 18c | 5,692$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.7 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cubs | 77c | 5,501$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Brewers | 49c | 5,500$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cubs | 50c | 5,366$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 52c | 5,021$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.08 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Cubs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed Brewers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Brewers | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cubs | 51c | 4,900$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.66 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Cubs | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…f11ebacked Brewers | 48c | 4,300$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers | 18c | 4,167$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Brewers | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…559cbacked Brewers | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cubs | 72c | 3,840$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.27 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 12c | 3,705$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.67 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…bbc3backed Brewers | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed Cubs | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…7793backed Cubs | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brewers | 20c | 3,181$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.1 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 50c | 3,081$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Brewers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Brewers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…814ebacked Cubs | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…6be2backed Brewers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…ea4dbacked Cubs | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Brewers | 37c | 2,991$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.79 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Brewers | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…1f7fbacked Brewers | 14c | 2,816$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 52c | 2,778$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.62 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…c048backed Cubs | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 30c | 2,542$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Brewers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…ca50backed Cubs | 51c | 2,349$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…cd01backed Brewers | 17c | 2,300$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Brewers | 49c | 2,224$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…d3b1backed Brewers | 51c | 2,106$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…cd11backed Cubs | 50c | 2,105$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 32c | 2,080$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Brewers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Cubs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…ee42backed Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Cubs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Cubs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cubs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…8f26backed Cubs | 79c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 52c | 1,980$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.31 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Brewers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…8cdbbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,931$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…c6ccbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,915$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cubs | 50c | 1,885$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.97 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 52c | 1,863$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.42 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…76aabacked Brewers | 51c | 1,827$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…2da1backed Cubs | 53c | 1,776$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +188%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…91afbacked Brewers | 49c | 1,776$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Cubsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.