College Football · resolved market
Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9120b970346b187ad83380e0b6683d7a65a891c6d7e1b8b4f6661171eb84e0c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Over | 50c | 7,332$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 52c | 6,847$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.44 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 3,974$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.3 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,881$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.48 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 35c | 1,083$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.71 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 65c | 847.38$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 50c | 361.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 50c | 325$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 65c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 52.5this page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-16.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-17.5)Georgia Tech won
- Syracuse vs. Georgia TechGeorgia Tech won
- Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 53.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.