College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Tech (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d10153956d5e6ce6a05b4e5db69463429e67bbd4ea407827798f2583707103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof Georgia Tech, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…d2d0backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Syracuse | 53c | 22,398$11,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,870.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…b95ebacked Syracuse | 53c | 11,037$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Georgia Tech | 48c | 6,804$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.75 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…a0bebacked Syracuse | 53c | 5,559$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…bc6bbacked Syracuse | 53c | 5,364$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Syracuse | 52c | 5,199$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.57 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…add6backed Syracuse | 53c | 5,001$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Syracuse | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Tech | 47c | 3,484$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.16 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia Tech | 47c | 2,091$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.04 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d6c1backed Syracuse | 53c | 1,421$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia Tech | 47c | 1,285$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.52 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Syracuse | 55c | 1,223$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Georgia Tech | 48c | 1,052$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.83 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…7765backed Syracuse | 53c | 974$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Syracuse | 54c | 745$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.3 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Syracuse | 53c | 730$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Syracuse | 49c | 523.64$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Syracuse | 49c | 514$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked Syracuse | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Syracuse | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Syracuse | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed Syracuse | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Syracuse | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Syracuse | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…44e1backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Syracuse | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked Georgia Tech | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Georgia Tech | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-17.5)this page
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-16.5)Georgia Tech won
- Syracuse vs. Georgia TechGeorgia Tech won
- Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 52.5Over won
- Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 53.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.