NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e123dd538d1ecbe8e18f08bdbfdee8122b2068531a8feb78dcdcdddcdb06b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Clippers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 50c | 16,061$7,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,969.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Heat | 47c | 14,793$6,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.1 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…eda4backed Clippers | 53c | 12,790$6,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,778.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Heat | 52c | 9,382$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.29 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Heat | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 49c | 7,004$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.07 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Heat | 51c | 5,980$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 50c | 5,417$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.4 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Clippers | 51c | 3,455$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.02 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 51c | 2,253$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.51 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…64d0backed Heat | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Heat | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…65b4backed Clippers | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 51c | 1,577$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.36 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…e1c3backed Heat | 49c | 1,550$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…caeabacked Clippers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…d44ebacked Heat | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…cbe8backed Clippers | 51c | 1,386$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 50c | 1,307$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…78f2backed Clippers | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…b231backed Heat | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…8a78backed Heat | 49c | 1,211$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Heat | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.82 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…47b7backed Clippers | 51c | 877$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…0eb7backed Heat | 49c | 856$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…f01dbacked Heat | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…359bbacked Clippers | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…044fbacked Clippers | 51c | 681$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…a538backed Heat | 49c | 677$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f2…4b20backed Clippers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Clippers | 54c | 562.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…20a3backed Heat | 49c | 524$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…a984backed Clippers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…4197backed Clippers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Heat | 46c | 457.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…0a93backed Clippers | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Clippers | 51c | 399.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Clippers | 53c | 380.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…461ebacked Clippers | 51c | 324$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 51c | 314.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 51c | 262.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Heat | 49c | 232.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…5a57backed Heat | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Clippers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Heat | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Clippers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Clippers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Heat | 50c | 99.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Heat | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Heat | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Clippers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 52c | 77.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Heat | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Heat | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…c740backed Clippers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c45fbacked Clippers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Heat | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…69a3backed Heat | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Clippers | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Heat | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Heat | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…a29bbacked Clippers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Clippers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e6…b6fcbacked Heat | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Heat | 49c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Clippers | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…fd58backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…c94dbacked Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heat | 55c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)this page
- Heat vs. ClippersHeat won
- Heat vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Heat vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.