TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5c2…ede2backed Over47c4,769$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d6…64d0backed Over47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…70cebacked Over47c3,789$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.17875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b0…3183backed Under53c3,446$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…155fbacked Under53c3,045$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb6…d44ebacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b79…ec6abacked Over47c2,837$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…885dbacked Under53c2,783$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ff…ae92backed Under53c2,702$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…b32dbacked Under53c2,652$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa46…00b1backed Under53c2,513$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8255…7cc9backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x074e…78f2backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb62…9d75backed Over47c2,459$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ed5…6fcabacked Over47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa272…caeabacked Over47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84c9…ae1abacked Under53c2,067$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf738…c2f3backed Under53c2,012$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6033…65b4backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9112…c740backed Under53c1,850$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ac9…2d01backed Over47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…f7f1backed Under53c1,782$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d25…47b7backed Over47c1,677$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.81825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59d9…74f9backed Under53c1,572$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.1650%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4ac…17bdbacked Under53c1,571$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.63825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Under58c1,555$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Over47c1,551$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fad…246dbacked Over47c1,551$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d1…461ebacked Under53c1,543$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0423…359bbacked Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00ce…c8f3backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f5…044fbacked Under53c1,482$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Over42c1,365$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b55…d625backed Over47c1,356$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6b2…cbe8backed Over47c1,348$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97aa…7881backed Over47c1,346$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+76.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbdb7…935cbacked Over47c1,326$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed84…e889backed Over47c1,326$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8d…35adbacked Over47c1,325$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…e90cbacked Over47c1,124$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7321…0eb7backed Under53c1,123$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9827…eed2backed Under53c1,025$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7067…9ababacked Over47c1,024$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2167…9150backed Over47c1,023$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x573b…cdbbbacked Over47c1,023$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8e…b07fbacked Under53c1,022$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f92…cc7dbacked Under53c1,011$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5358…8a78backed Over47c1,009$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29af…76f1backed Under53c1,005$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4171…9bcbbacked Over47c989$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa796…b816backed Over47c988$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ba…59fbbacked Over47c988$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf8…5fb6backed Under53c973$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.69911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over51c915$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.3547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Under49c915$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3547144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cf…c056backed Over47c816$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc281…b231backed Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9502…6d3cbacked Under53c769$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca76…e5b2backed Over47c768$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f53…0855backed Over47c767$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd4…11b4backed Under53c766$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e50…c337backed Over47c742$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e83…a538backed Over47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0515…f99ebacked Over47c677$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae9…c2c0backed Over47c670$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9515…da75backed Under53c660$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x583f…8a4fbacked Over47c632$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe6…22d8backed Over47c608$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.24850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…20a3backed Under53c607$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2da…450cbacked Under53c601$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd3…c362backed Under53c587$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a04…5027backed Under53c550$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9feb…e464backed Over47c523$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…91aabacked Under53c512$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over51c477.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.272,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e3…5c3bbacked Over47c447$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05dc…37a7backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Over45c391$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.054647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b15…cc30backed Under53c378$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec1…f01dbacked Over47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…171abacked Under53c274$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c250.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over46c241$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…6891backed Under53c237$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…cbfdbacked Under53c207$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f0…b02dbacked Under53c167$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over49c165.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8280148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7da…89b2backed Under53c159$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf508…f39fbacked Over47c153$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…dbf0backed Under53c149$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Under56c77.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd15b…8be2backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822c…a2fcbacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb3…6344backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under56c34.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0917350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecd…1d24backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.