MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c4651a72745545896d4ecfeb7869717589e2d2fbe73fc81668054384e0ab72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Pirates, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $945,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Reds | 62c | 161,313$100,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,299.03 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 37c | 105,865$38,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,870.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 38c | 63,474$24,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,120.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 61c | 47,124$28,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,378.3 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 38c | 45,608$17,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,487.13 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 67c | 45,485$30,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,135.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Pirates | 39c | 27,233$10,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,620.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Reds | 62c | 25,431$15,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,663.72 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Reds | 62c | 25,117$15,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,668.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.98 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 38c | 22,826$8,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,702.13 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 39c | 21,667$8,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,503.24 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 70c | 21,319$15,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.51 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Reds | 62c | 10,973$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.74 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 39c | 9,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.96 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Reds | 60c | 9,453$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.34 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Reds | 62c | 7,123$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reds | 61c | 6,010$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.9 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 29c | 5,228$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 38c | 5,063$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.12 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Reds | 60c | 5,020$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates | 39c | 4,551$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…a5cbbacked Reds | 64c | 3,898$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 61c | 3,862$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.23 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 16c | 3,746$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.44 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 61c | 3,204$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Pirates | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Reds | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Pirates | 39c | 2,392$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Reds | 63c | 2,380$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.07 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pirates | 21c | 2,213$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 25c | 2,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Reds | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Reds | 62c | 1,965$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.54 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 39c | 1,834$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.34 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…1ad2backed Pirates | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Pirates | 39c | 1,559$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…cd28backed Reds | 61c | 1,550$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Reds | 61c | 1,266$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.93 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…7e52backed Reds | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 39c | 1,053$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.67 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pirates | 38c | 1,008$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.04 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Pirates | 40c | 1,006$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…d3fbbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Pirates | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Reds | 61c | 950$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Reds | 70c | 912.33$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked Reds | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Reds | 62c | 805.65$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Pirates | 7c | 805$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Pirates | 38c | 800.31$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Pirates | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 39c | 711.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Pirates | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Pirates | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pirates | 39c | 698$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749c…b6d6backed Reds | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Pirates | 39c | 647$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Reds | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ac…ee5fbacked Pirates | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Reds | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 23c | 594.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 40c | 592$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 38c | 587.48$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 39c | 574.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…dacbbacked Reds | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reds | 64c | 570.55$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 61c | 513.11$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 39c | 509.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Pirates | 20c | 509.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Pirates | 7c | 468.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Reds | 63c | 467.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Pirates | 35c | 462.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 4c | 436.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Pirates | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 40c | 370$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 37c | 366$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pirates | 34c | 352.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Pirates | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Reds | 60c | 334.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Reds | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 26c | 313.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 4c | 302$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pirates | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…df2dbacked Pirates | 40c | 287.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9358…8409backed Pirates | 40c | 286.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Redsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.