NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfee517702c10dd381f94911c8c0dfdd82ef83a18473487e51970eb069b8d3ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 50c | 32,612$16,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,464.71 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Kings | 52c | 29,194$15,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,139.06 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Nuggets | 52c | 20,287$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Nuggets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 17,752$8,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,876 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 11,940$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,894.81 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 51c | 6,813$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.49 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 48c | 5,630$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.9 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 5,463$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,239$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Kings | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,568$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.24 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…5fb6backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,463$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…17bdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,383$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…47b7backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,755$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,334$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.3 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…461ebacked Kings | 50c | 3,212$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…70c3backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,119$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,064$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.4 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,975$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.83 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…cbe8backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,838$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…2babbacked Kings | 49c | 2,646$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…c286backed Kings | 49c | 2,591$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,480$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…9169backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,326$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…78f2backed Kings | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…cdbbbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,950$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…cc7dbacked Kings | 49c | 1,907$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…359bbacked Kings | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…044fbacked Kings | 49c | 1,643$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…b816backed Kings | 49c | 1,641$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…cc30backed Kings | 49c | 1,609$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…caeabacked Kings | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Kings | 54c | 1,470$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.13 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,447$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.69 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…b32dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,437$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…c8f3backed Kings | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…ae92backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…5c3bbacked Kings | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…64d0backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…b4b5backed Kings | 50c | 1,184$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…c337backed Kings | 49c | 1,172$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…65b4backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…f01dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…9bcbbacked Kings | 49c | 987$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…c2f3backed Kings | 49c | 963$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…8a4fbacked Kings | 49c | 947$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f2…4b20backed Kings | 49c | 930$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…7cc9backed Nuggets | 51c | 850$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…d44ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 850$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb7…935cbacked Kings | 49c | 827$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x822c…a2fcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 820$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…c740backed Nuggets | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…6fcabacked Nuggets | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…8be2backed Kings | 49c | 720$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…d625backed Kings | 49c | 698$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97aa…7881backed Kings | 49c | 678$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…0eb7backed Kings | 49c | 674$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…e1c3backed Nuggets | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…b231backed Nuggets | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…e889backed Kings | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed Nuggets | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Kings | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…f7f1backed Kings | 49c | 594$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…4197backed Nuggets | 51c | 580$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…8a78backed Kings | 49c | 521$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Kings | 49c | 500$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…852dbacked Kings | 49c | 464$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…35a8backed Kings | 62c | 432.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…35adbacked Nuggets | 51c | 421$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2da…450cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…dbf0backed Nuggets | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Nuggets | 48c | 377.62$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…89b2backed Nuggets | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…e90cbacked Kings | 49c | 366$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1d24backed Nuggets | 51c | 364$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…cbfdbacked Kings | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 341$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9515…da75backed Kings | 49c | 332$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 50c | 328$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…20a3backed Kings | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Kings | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…0a93backed Kings | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…171abacked Kings | 50c | 248$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…a538backed Kings | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…59fbbacked Kings | 49c | 212$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nuggets | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…2d01backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…c362backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…76f1backed Kings | 49c | 169$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)this page
- Kings vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.