NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe045cc813c7a03ab9457bc751589f1f2fc9e07f57f9fe351388d5078fb43eee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Kings, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 19c | 53,560$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 7c | 40,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Kings | 5c | 30,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Kings | 17c | 20,927$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.66 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 17c | 20,522$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.72 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Kings | 18c | 16,500$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.19 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Kings | 19c | 12,631$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 9c | 12,073$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.45 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 21c | 11,450$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.5 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kings | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kings | 10c | 9,663$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.65 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 19c | 8,840$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…f73ebacked Kings | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 17c | 6,571$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.75 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 18c | 6,098$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.62 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 16c | 5,788$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.05 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings | 19c | 5,303$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 16c | 4,612$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 79c | 4,296$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.11 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 5c | 4,027$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 16c | 3,778$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 11c | 3,596$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 10c | 3,289$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.48 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 80c | 3,023$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.92 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Kings | 6c | 2,960$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…110ebacked Kings | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 17c | 2,400$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings | 17c | 2,118$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…d78fbacked Kings | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings | 18c | 1,707$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kings | 5c | 1,648$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,557$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kings | 10c | 1,500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…4808backed Kings | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kings | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f175backed Kings | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Kings | 12c | 1,295$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Kings | 13c | 1,286$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Kings | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kings | 17c | 1,172$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Kings | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Kings | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 6c | 1,048$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Kings | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Kings | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Kings | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…bf36backed Kings | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3a4dbacked Kings | 17c | 988.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Kings | 10c | 955.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Kings | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 11c | 867$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Kings | 3c | 844.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…59bdbacked Kings | 9c | 822.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Kings | 12c | 749.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Kings | 18c | 640$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Kings | 11c | 595.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kings | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Kings | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Kings | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…e48fbacked Kings | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Kings | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -10.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Kings | 21c | 499.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 18c | 413$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…449bbacked Kings | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Kings | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked Kings | 19c | 386.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Kings | 18c | 366.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…1385backed Kings | 17c | 365.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…9df7backed Kings | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3560backed Kings | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Kings | 13c | 312$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…2d20backed Kings | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…f407backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…440abacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc742…1d37backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…f2bbbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…3276backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…5fe7backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73ea…63e6backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…7a1dbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…ff80backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…7192backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…18fcbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…511cbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…9931backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…a7e2backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8385…9502backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dec…19e2backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…7563backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…25a3backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…df15backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0e…683bbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…4be7backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…10e4backed Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…858dbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…8edfbacked Kings | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Kings vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.