NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1fb8422397e8256ce5e00e3f45b03a79b36b193e3c99b2d95ab14887e8e17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,801.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 17,141$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,148$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…33f4backed Over | 49c | 2,006$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 1,533$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.17 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 1,217$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.07 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Under | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under | 51c | 619.61$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Over | 56c | 494.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 50c | 385$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 367.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…2e61backed Over | 50c | 328$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Under | 51c | 323.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 49c | 290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 49c | 259.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 249.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…c89abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…300bbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 169$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 48c | 155.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Over | 47c | 139.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Over | 50c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Over | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…0a92backed Over | 49c | 123.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 99.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 39c | 75.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 55c | 55.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…fa00backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…dbebbacked Over | 50c | 47.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4797…2382backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6156…6ad5backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…3f2cbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 49c | 32.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…1092backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…1870backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…9fdfbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5this page
- Clippers vs. SunsSuns won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.