NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9b43defac2c85eae86298da1e1bf2ece0b9ca44f980f057cd88d9249e22f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 50c | 6,199$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.11 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 50c | 4,910$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.95 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Suns | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Suns | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.92 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Suns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Clippers | 50c | 1,892$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.21 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 49c | 1,883$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 49c | 1,668$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.02 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Suns | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,465$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Clippers | 48c | 1,074$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.68 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Suns | 50c | 1,054$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Suns | 50c | 514.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Clippers | 51c | 340.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Suns | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Suns | 50c | 282$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Clippers | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 48c | 235$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Suns | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…22a6backed Clippers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 51c | 159.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Suns | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Suns | 50c | 143.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…f98fbacked Clippers | 51c | 127.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Clippers | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Suns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Suns | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Suns | 50c | 106.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Clippers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Clippers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…d8a4backed Suns | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Suns | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Suns | 50c | 80.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Suns | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 50c | 75.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Suns | 50c | 71.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Clippers | 50c | 59.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Suns | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…ffb2backed Suns | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Suns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Suns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Suns | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Suns | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Clippers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Suns | 53c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…6519backed Suns | 50c | 33.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Suns | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Suns | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…17c3backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaba…ba7cbacked Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- Clippers vs. SunsSuns won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.