TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7d9…6e70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$427.45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$216.06
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$237.34
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$53.89
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$208.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$496.66
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$19.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$210.32
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+33.7%+$220.29
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$189.03
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$89.36
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$118
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$499.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.