NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf930da5d3e9114b0d5f69e0d84d529833857acf31ec21671de6ed74e583a0d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,598,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,627,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,598,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Celtics | 63c | 448,682$282,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,012.22 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Pelicans | 37c | 435,226$161,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,033.56 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Celtics | 47c | 187,662$87,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,886.55 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Pelicans | 51c | 86,800$44,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,346.02 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Celtics | 53c | 86,280$45,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,573.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Celtics | 55c | 79,366$43,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,429.68 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans | 42c | 38,826$16,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,408.27 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Pelicans | 36c | 37,637$13,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,675.63 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans | 53c | 35,275$18,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,525.39 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Celtics | 51c | 33,421$17,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,292.7 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pelicans | 39c | 29,204$11,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,295.74 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pelicans | 42c | 26,007$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.89 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 46c | 26,007$11,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,161.4 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Celtics | 50c | 21,163$10,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,613.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Celtics | 51c | 20,566$10,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.43 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pelicans | 57c | 20,012$11,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,389.14 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked Pelicans | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Pelicans | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…0e0ebacked Celtics | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.89 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Celtics | 55c | 18,212$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.54 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Celtics | 53c | 17,007$9,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.35 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 60c | 15,568$9,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Pelicans | 54c | 15,549$8,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,370.76 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…fe86backed Celtics | 50c | 15,300$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 28cpaid | +1,010.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…96d2backed Pelicans | 50c | 15,300$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans | 49c | 14,955$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Pelicans | 41c | 12,255$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 51c | 11,761$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.18 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Celtics | 79c | 11,300$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Celtics | 56c | 11,145$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.2 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 53c | 11,142$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.85 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Pelicans | 40c | 11,137$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.04 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 10,927$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.15 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 42c | 10,699$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 37c | 8,570$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.73 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Celtics | 63c | 8,162$5,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Celtics | 62c | 7,889$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.53 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Pelicans | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 51c | 7,384$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.48 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Pelicans | 29c | 7,105$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 41c | 6,831$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.87 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 46c | 6,448$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.08 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans | 41c | 6,069$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.56 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,750$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,652$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Celtics | 44c | 5,599$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.6 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Pelicans | 37c | 5,007$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.42 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Celtics | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pelicans | 17c | 4,779$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.25 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 12c | 4,345$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,320$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.6 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Pelicans | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.96 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Pelicans | 39c | 3,813$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans | 13c | 3,763$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.25 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pelicans | 35c | 3,420$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Pelicans | 46c | 3,407$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 52c | 3,405$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.47 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 16c | 3,363$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans | 47c | 3,265$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.62 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans | 21c | 3,248$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.82 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 63c | 3,217$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.39 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pelicans | 47c | 3,198$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,073$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Pelicans | 39c | 3,042$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans | 28c | 2,907$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 2,624$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pelicans | 38c | 2,495$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.88 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 2,404$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.09 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Pelicans | 41c | 2,181$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.6 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,020$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.2 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,017$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.35 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Celtics | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Celtics | 73c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Celtics | 44c | 1,920$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.27 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…6c41backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…72b5backed Celtics | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,568$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.2 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…57d6backed Celtics | 43c | 1,493$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…7b4fbacked Pelicans | 58c | 1,492$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,419$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Celtics | 52c | 1,398$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.12 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Pelicans | 36c | 1,396$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.56 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 49c | 1,377$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.27 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 31c | 1,278$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Pelicans | 42c | 1,225$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Pelicans | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Celtics | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Pelicansthis page
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.