NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ffdcb94d087bf9466fad575ba33fdcb028d98b0da63e6addc7e96f78493e494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pelicans, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Celtics | 51c | 22,684$11,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,102.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pelicans | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Celtics | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Pelicans | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.96 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Pelicans | 47c | 7,742$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.74 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 61c | 2,234$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Pelicans | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Celtics | 57c | 1,417$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.37 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,221$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 55c | 975.47$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 45c | 643.89$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Celtics | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Pelicans | 48c | 343$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 58c | 267.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 199.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 57c | 169$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Pelicans | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Pelicans | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 52c | 144.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…83a3backed Pelicans | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…bb17backed Pelicans | 34c | 99.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Celtics | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Celtics | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…3ca6backed Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…8270backed Celtics | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…a3fbbacked Celtics | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…6407backed Celtics | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…ffb3backed Celtics | 51c | 29.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…faf0backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…942abacked Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…458fbacked Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…8492backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe115…4641backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…1468backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…5d71backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…c4a1backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…71d3backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…8784backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…93acbacked Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…f485backed Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5096…6634backed Celtics | 51c | 28.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…2bd7backed Celtics | 51c | 25.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…3980backed Celtics | 51c | 25.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…e1d7backed Celtics | 51c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…0bb9backed Celtics | 49c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…4455backed Celtics | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Celtics | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…62b6backed Celtics | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…1222backed Celtics | 51c | 21.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…191cbacked Celtics | 51c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…d530backed Celtics | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5b0bbacked Celtics | 50c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…dd61backed Celtics | 51c | 20.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)this page
- Celtics vs. PelicansCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.