CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b06bea1895d8840b7e43f9c78661c1a4afadeec8503f98a0285620ebe8d78ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA | 37c | 22,328$8,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,248.7 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 63c | 14,054$8,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA | 45c | 7,924$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.45 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Astralis | 64c | 7,565$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.55 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 60c | 6,253$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.6 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 61c | 6,152$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.89 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 57c | 5,904$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.73 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Astralis | 69c | 5,447$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.99 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA | 24c | 4,104$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.64 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 59c | 4,034$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.53 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FURIA | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 61c | 4,000$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.35 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Astralis | 63c | 3,353$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.49 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis | 37c | 2,985$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.55 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed FURIA | 49c | 2,331$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 37c | 2,278$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.87 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FURIA | 63c | 2,082$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.61 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed FURIA | 50c | 1,862$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA | 29c | 1,710$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.73 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed FURIA | 35c | 1,512$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed FURIA | 41c | 1,456$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Astralis | 72c | 1,383$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.65 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Astralis | 70c | 1,337$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis | 64c | 1,222$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.46 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed FURIA | 11c | 1,131$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,036$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.08 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA | 41c | 1,015$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.94 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…b48fbacked Astralis | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed FURIA | 59c | 999.95$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.11 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Astralis | 50c | 996.86$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.43 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed FURIA | 51c | 981.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA | 20c | 954.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis | 65c | 850.8$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Astralis | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked FURIA | 61c | 799.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis | 54c | 761.54$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.54 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis | 64c | 718.75$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed FURIA | 33c | 704.23$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FURIA | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed FURIA | 46c | 649.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis | 50c | 598$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Astralis | 69c | 585.71$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…6cfbbacked FURIA | 36c | 558.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Astralis | 66c | 557.49$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Astralis | 70c | 549.71$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Astralis | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis | 66c | 518.2$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Astralis | 60c | 493.47$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA | 43c | 465.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Astralis | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 38c | 440$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…efb4backed FURIA | 27c | 390$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed FURIA | 5c | 372.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked FURIA | 46c | 364.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Astralis | 67c | 330.15$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FURIA | 36c | 327.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed FURIA | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 167 | 42.5%71 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Astralis | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 234 | 33.3%78 W · 156 L | -22.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…3a8cbacked FURIA | 35c | 285.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 34c | 266$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed FURIA | 51c | 250.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis | 60c | 230.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 448 | 48.4%217 W · 231 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 30c | 220.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Astralis | 36c | 218$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FURIA | 49c | 215.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…6aa3backed FURIA | 47c | 210.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked FURIA | 36c | 202.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis | 38c | 200.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Astralis | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed FURIA | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked FURIA | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed FURIA | 42c | 199.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed FURIA | 50c | 198.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Astralis | 57c | 178.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed FURIA | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed FURIA | 9c | 169.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…eb63backed FURIA | 30c | 166.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Astralis | 67c | 150.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Astralis | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed FURIA | 9c | 140.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed FURIA | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Astralis | 66c | 129.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Astralis | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Astralis | 80c | 125.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Astralis | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA | 34c | 121.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Astralis | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Astralis | 76c | 113.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed FURIA | 51c | 102.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Astralis | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked FURIA | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed FURIA | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Astralis | 60c | 96.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.