TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA37c22,328$8,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,248.73,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis63c14,054$8,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.643,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA45c7,924$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.4532752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Astralis64c7,565$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.554544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis60c6,253$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.62,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis61c6,152$3,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.891,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis57c5,904$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.7360540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Astralis69c5,447$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.999337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA24c4,104$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.6422927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis59c4,034$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.531,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis61c4,000$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.351,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Astralis63c3,353$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.498758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis37c2,985$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.5524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c36backed FURIA49c2,331$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis37c2,278$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.8761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA63c2,082$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.6121548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed FURIA50c1,862$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9383754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA29c1,710$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.732,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed FURIA35c1,512$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4f…f1e0backed FURIA41c1,456$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.851030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Astralis72c1,383$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.6515970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed Astralis70c1,337$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.242853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis64c1,222$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.4628453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed FURIA11c1,131$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2813043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA54c1,036$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.0847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA41c1,015$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.9421042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked Astralis50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FURIA59c999.95$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1126549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Astralis50c996.86$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4376546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed FURIA51c981.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA20c954.57$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.037,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis65c850.8$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.527348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Astralis54c799.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36826251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked FURIA61c799.97$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9811452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis54c761.54$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5442050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis64c718.75$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7515050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed FURIA33c704.23$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed FURIA52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36424457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed FURIA46c649.82$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1711040.9%45 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis50c598$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Astralis69c585.71$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7141850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4c…6cfbbacked FURIA36c558.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Astralis66c557.49$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6633949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked Astralis70c549.71$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.914961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Astralis37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.548537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis66c518.2$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6439851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Astralis60c493.47$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6569863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA43c465.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked Astralis80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis38c440$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.85,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…efb4backed FURIA27c390$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.891435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca9c…1007backed FURIA5c372.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.232339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked FURIA46c364.6$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16818250%91 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Astralis67c330.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1515162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FURIA36c327.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.021,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed FURIA31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.216742.5%71 W · 96 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Astralis68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9623433.3%78 W · 156 L-22.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb379…3a8cbacked FURIA35c285.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.922227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA34c266$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.771,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed FURIA51c250.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.54829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis60c230.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6844848.4%217 W · 231 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA30c220.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.644,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Astralis36c218$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.526640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked FURIA49c215.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3661854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9d3…6aa3backed FURIA47c210.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked FURIA36c202.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8459647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis38c200.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0111928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Astralis50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed FURIA20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked FURIA48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA37c199.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed FURIA42c199.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9922556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed FURIA50c198.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Astralis57c178.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8519342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7d9…6e70backed FURIA28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a22…f8d8backed FURIA9c169.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae6…eb63backed FURIA30c166.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-71.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Astralis67c150.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1319355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Astralis50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis58c149.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6332352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed FURIA9c140.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.824440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed FURIA44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Astralis66c129.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6144641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Astralis38c128.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Astralis80c125.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.112853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked Astralis56c124.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.746443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA34c121.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.052,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Astralis58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Astralis76c113.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9339468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2122843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FURIA51c102.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5215249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Astralis45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.419442.8%83 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked FURIA26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed FURIA63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Astralis60c96.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5111037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.