TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Astralis, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,418,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,615,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,418,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA51c252,512$127,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,605.3839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis49c148,317$72,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,599.0242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed FURIA65c100,000$64,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,499.87943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed Astralis25c79,001$19,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,750.321553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis25c69,900$17,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,47513633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Astralis51c50,250$25,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,736.035641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Astralis0c35,470$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.713315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA75c26,743$20,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,685.7121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Astralis51c25,172$12,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,837.33435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FURIA75c25,000$18,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,25013954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis48c20,433$9,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,732.0567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20081843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Astralis34c19,816$6,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,705.27146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FURIA71c19,334$13,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,676.1719455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis27c17,023$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.253,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9815245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis27c13,935$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.083,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis27c13,730$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.1624846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed FURIA66c12,718$8,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.153253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA75c12,222$9,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.526351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed FURIA74c11,589$8,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.6711758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Astralis49c11,273$5,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,546.1223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis38c10,660$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.9459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Astralis43c10,419$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.6111937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA67c10,379$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.1523839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked FURIA50c10,100$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.978261%50 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Astralis27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9916449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis46c9,149$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.8119549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA54c8,005$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,718.9644957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Astralis30c7,802$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.9422448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis35c7,492$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.0528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Astralis51c7,452$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.4438037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Astralis42c7,399$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed FURIA75c7,095$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.794955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA66c6,851$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.4276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA64c6,696$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.6632552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Astralis26c5,846$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA71c5,525$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.0272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked FURIA48c5,343$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.944928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed FURIA56c5,325$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.941861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis21c5,200$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.991,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed FURIA65c5,163$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.559337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked FURIA74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3006555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Astralis31c4,917$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.5611940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis34c4,588$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.2561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Astralis33c4,576$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.4312450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis9c4,507$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Astralis49c4,463$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.477450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed FURIA51c4,348$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.642339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA73c4,278$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.8441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA48c4,208$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.811,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Astralis32c4,085$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.4211241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed FURIA58c4,057$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis32c4,008$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.771,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Astralis25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed Astralis26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0405129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed FURIA53c3,850$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.362548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed FURIA75c3,677$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.3121723%50 W · 167 L-35.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis25c3,670$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.620539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis43c3,658$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.611,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Astralis20c3,050$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0426549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA54c3,047$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.2421042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed FURIA52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis25c2,894$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Astralis32c2,788$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.7846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed FURIA51c2,746$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.546432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked FURIA58c2,700$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1343154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Astralis25c2,687$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.0811037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked FURIA75c2,666$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.464957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x297d…f721backed Astralis26c2,661$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Astralis44c2,594$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.8811643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Astralis43c2,528$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.8529647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis48c2,515$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.7319645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9950833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed FURIA50c2,494$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2474528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba4c…1362backed Astralis42c2,420$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.811844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Astralis32c2,420$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.9313937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Astralis37c2,393$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.515536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Astralis16c2,381$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1313030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis20c2,340$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1922843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis39c2,268$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.371,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Astralis14c2,243$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6113043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed FURIA55c2,200$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99022142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA58c2,151$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.192,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Astralis43c2,131$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.567238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Astralis41c2,073$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.0111630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA61c2,022$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.3836245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Astralis50c2,003$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.4610043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked FURIA70c2,000$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.543265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…9f3bbacked Astralis26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked FURIA50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Astralis26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed FURIA75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Astralis26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.