TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Astralis, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$382,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA72c150,000$107,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,499.9839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis28c131,188$37,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,227.6542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis11c50,311$5,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,285.343,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Astralis1c28,489$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8924538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Astralis28c14,640$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.27146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Astralis1c10,880$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.613315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis19c6,442$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.881,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Astralis24c6,066$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.89337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis21c5,746$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.892,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis20c4,837$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA70c4,757$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.1832552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis9c4,241$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.253,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked FURIA69c3,200$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.838758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis24c3,011$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.491,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Astralis30c2,967$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89011940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis24c2,000$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Astralis17c1,562$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.34544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Astralis28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed FURIA68c1,232$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39910538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis30c921$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.322142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ae…c89abacked FURIA79c873.73$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.192161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed FURIA58c777.13$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1322952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked FURIA76c722.84$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.684961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis30c666.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA72c645$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis29c631$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.175,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Astralis34c593.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed Astralis34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Astralis35c514.29$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA64c500$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18222554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis29c409.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8711928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9222550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis28c390$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.222843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Astralis25c372.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9514533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA69c349.32$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.291,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FURIA58c345.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Astralis30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae4c…6cfbbacked Astralis29c329.72$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis23c329.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.091,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…f102backed Astralis7c315.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis12c306.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9127348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Astralis42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12647641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis32c285$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.741,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed FURIA72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.789364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked FURIA72c276.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.131457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Astralis40c242.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked FURIA68c223.37$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2213657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked FURIA77c210$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Astralis29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed Astralis40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed FURIA65c199.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.998158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed FURIA73c185$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9511245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Astralis20c183.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6229350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked FURIA55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.912256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Astralis18c179.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.222040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Astralis48c179.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8615162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis33c175.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.92,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9335…0c21backed FURIA79c166.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked FURIA62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0716…5ff1backed Astralis15c153.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Astralis33c151.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f22…b646backed Astralis28c149.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Astralis28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed FURIA75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fb…c8b8backed Astralis26c124.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93129%9 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c34…05cfbacked Astralis20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…301abacked FURIA71c113.84$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis25c111.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.424,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Astralis24c107.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.362350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6520…ea4bbacked Astralis23c104.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2d…6613backed FURIA68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06cb…e7c7backed Astralis15c95.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4b…4554backed Astralis15c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis31c89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.97,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…45a9backed Astralis36c89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.71850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Astralis17c88.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1511037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Astralis33c87.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed FURIA67c87.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2919247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked FURIA73c87.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4659647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis25c85.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed Astralis24c84.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Astralis35c82.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9933949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a1…9836backed FURIA80c79.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked FURIA72c76.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Astralis24c75.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1217944.1%79 W · 100 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astralis28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked FURIA71c70.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5710660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed FURIA72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4433456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Astralis30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd33…6c0dbacked Astralis35c66.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Astralis26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.642845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis28c59.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.435,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked FURIA71c58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.828974.2%66 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA78c54.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…24c2backed FURIA74c52.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.728561.2%52 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked FURIA72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.