Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3fa7f3aff2c9cc9417da05a46b177155a810a77e8927d836f475101e903a320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Team Falcons | 53c | 50,678$26,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,791.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 44c | 28,422$12,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,407.26 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed MOUZ | 47c | 24,678$11,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,598.58 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 54c | 24,642$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,242.12 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 16,992$9,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…0ca5backed MOUZ | 50c | 14,235$7,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 10,185$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 46c | 9,940$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.35 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 54c | 9,459$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.03 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 34c | 9,038$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.29 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed MOUZ | 47c | 7,468$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.96 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 6,818$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 16c | 5,222$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.76 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 47c | 4,736$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.44 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ | 46c | 4,700$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.96 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 4,647$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.76 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ | 25c | 4,386$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…b4b4backed MOUZ | 23c | 4,319$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 53c | 4,165$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.9 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ | 36c | 3,954$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.6 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Team Falcons | 50c | 3,414$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,137$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.08 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons | 76c | 3,032$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.66 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.96 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,940$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.33 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ | 28c | 2,931$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.42 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,923$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.81 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked MOUZ | 4c | 2,821$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,682$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.56 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,532$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.83 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,484$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.32 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,442$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,308$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.74 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…92d0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,230$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,033$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,004$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,954$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.38 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,923$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.78 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked MOUZ | 17c | 1,892$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,880$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,814$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,567$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.29 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.69 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,458$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 1,320$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.98 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,271$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.62 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,251$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…0443backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,248$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,168$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.76 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…4b61backed Team Falcons | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Team Falcons | 53c | 925.2$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 909.25$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.25 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 899.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Falcons | 77c | 883.12$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 46c | 867$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.47 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed MOUZ | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed MOUZ | 28c | 826$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed MOUZ | 50c | 803$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed MOUZ | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 791$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.95 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed MOUZ | 46c | 773.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed MOUZ | 46c | 759.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 755.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 742.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.53 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed MOUZ | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Falcons | 50c | 700$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 698.45$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 665.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Falcons | 75c | 664.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed MOUZ | 48c | 654.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed MOUZ | 47c | 648.94$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 635.01$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.52 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Team Falcons | 76c | 621.17$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.59 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 573.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked MOUZ | 47c | 572.41$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ | 41c | 566.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 73c | 566$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Falcons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed MOUZ | 29c | 554.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Team Falcons | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Team Falcons | 55c | 530.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…a854backed MOUZ | 47c | 512.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 45c | 492.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.8 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Falcons | 54c | 470.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.37 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Team Falcons | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.