Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ec5cce694793034481e1447f46bca92ffe8b8fde4f42f4b8eb79400b0464b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 48c | 55,587$26,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,842 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 48c | 30,974$14,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,106.23 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 55c | 26,279$14,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,783.11 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 78c | 12,069$9,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.42 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 46c | 11,111$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.37 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 51c | 10,225$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.42 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ | 37c | 8,820$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 35c | 8,406$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.37 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.98 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed MOUZ | 24c | 6,693$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Falcons | 48c | 5,236$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.77 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 53c | 4,986$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.82 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 53c | 4,445$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.26 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 54c | 4,135$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.4 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 51c | 4,000$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.9 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 26c | 3,803$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ | 31c | 3,543$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.4 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 45c | 3,420$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.99 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,245$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.55 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked MOUZ | 23c | 2,862$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.32 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,477$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,063$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,051$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,979$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.82 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,790$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.63 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 18c | 1,611$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,479$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,425$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,422$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.21 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,408$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.61 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,299$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.67 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,263$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…0443backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,255$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,097$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.26 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…8ad7backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 56c | 980.6$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 967.11$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ | 19c | 914.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 42c | 851.06$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.45 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 25c | 790.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…c9c6backed Team Falcons | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed MOUZ | 5c | 684.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 55c | 680.46$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.43 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons | 54c | 657.48$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.63 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ | 45c | 650$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 30c | 641.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 600.34$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 41c | 590$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 25c | 582.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked MOUZ | 52c | 572.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed MOUZ | 28c | 549.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Team Falcons | 62c | 514.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 30c | 505.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Falcons | 53c | 486.72$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 460.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.25 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 38c | 452.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 47c | 423.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 422.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 45c | 420$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 407.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 405.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 51c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 396$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 360$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 348.81$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 347.06$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 44c | 346.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ | 34c | 345$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed MOUZ | 58c | 305.21$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Team Falcons | 55c | 289.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked MOUZ | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 48c | 258.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 244.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked MOUZ | 49c | 242.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 62c | 239.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Falcons | 33c | 231.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed MOUZ | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Team Falcons | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed MOUZ | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed MOUZ | 46c | 208.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.