Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef555385ac6c1bb2068c18b351f45cbee971f973104bc7a2d7db7fec78e184c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 52c | 51,438$26,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,705.78 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 51c | 23,075$11,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,406.33 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 45c | 15,515$7,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,461.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 49c | 9,967$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.64 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ | 41c | 7,292$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.29 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,000$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.52 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.81 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…46b8backed MOUZ | 48c | 5,142$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 31c | 4,943$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.83 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked MOUZ | 54c | 4,667$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 54c | 4,596$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.53 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 3,730$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.28 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 11c | 3,638$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.52 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 23c | 3,451$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.26 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,060$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.26 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,909$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.67 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…189dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,867$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,817$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.58 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,640$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.4 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,497$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.23 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…3049backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,276$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,071$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.95 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,038$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.1 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…b4b4backed MOUZ | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked MOUZ | 17c | 1,778$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,545$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.57 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,515$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 1,407$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,378$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.09 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,367$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.21 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,240$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.2 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,134$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.47 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,070$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.57 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,069$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,059$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,035$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.8 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,029$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.61 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed MOUZ | 54c | 899.99$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 53c | 801.36$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.72 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 758.46$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked MOUZ | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 717.67$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.52 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 71c | 642.04$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked MOUZ | 52c | 579.28$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 45c | 549.79$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 547.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.83 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 55c | 543.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 504.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.41 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 46c | 501.67$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Team Falcons | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MOUZ | 19c | 461.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 46c | 445.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed MOUZ | 54c | 410.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 400.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ | 52c | 383.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 371.56$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed MOUZ | 54c | 345.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed MOUZ | 53c | 306.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 9c | 301.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 293.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Team Falcons | 52c | 292.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ | 4c | 273.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 249.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Team Falcons | 50c | 249.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Falcons | 46c | 240.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 48c | 234.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 230.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 48c | 219$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed MOUZ | 36c | 215.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed MOUZ | 54c | 203.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 49c | 203.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ | 50c | 200.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed MOUZ | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed MOUZ | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked MOUZ | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 198.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Team Falcons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed MOUZ | 56c | 189.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 181.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 43c | 170$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed MOUZ | 52c | 169$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed MOUZ | 59c | 168.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 44c | 163.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ | 27c | 147$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.