CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae523d266e3a81404ababd10d65ec977ea654daedcb1b7106a777dc55de535fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FlyQuest, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Astralis | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed FlyQuest | 35c | 27,576$9,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,651.52 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 20,692$7,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,242.19 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed FlyQuest | 36c | 10,417$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.97 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Astralis | 65c | 9,500$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.98 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed FlyQuest | 35c | 7,820$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Astralis | 64c | 6,571$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.35 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest | 24c | 5,046$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Astralis | 65c | 5,017$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.33 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Astralis | 66c | 3,782$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.32 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Astralis | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 66c | 2,750$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.89 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FlyQuest | 35c | 2,000$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.99 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Astralis | 65c | 1,828$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.8 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 61c | 1,790$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.27 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 1,757$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Astralis | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FlyQuest | 15c | 1,536$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Astralis | 64c | 1,508$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.19 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astralis | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FlyQuest | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Astralis | 79c | 1,331$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.01 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FlyQuest | 8c | 1,319$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Astralis | 66c | 1,233$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.11 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked FlyQuest | 22c | 1,207$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked FlyQuest | 33c | 1,129$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed FlyQuest | 10c | 1,022$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed FlyQuest | 14c | 999.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 25c | 985.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…c6a2backed FlyQuest | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FlyQuest | 34c | 887$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Astralis | 58c | 870$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Astralis | 64c | 840$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 16c | 760$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked FlyQuest | 33c | 756$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 67c | 746.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 61c | 744.74$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FlyQuest | 8c | 652.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Astralis | 68c | 587.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 581.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Astralis | 64c | 549.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Astralis | 78c | 511.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed Astralis | 58c | 509.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Astralis | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FlyQuest | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 18c | 498$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Astralis | 65c | 493$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Astralis | 66c | 440$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 68c | 438.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 64c | 413.84$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Astralis | 65c | 398.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Astralis | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FlyQuest | 34c | 373.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FlyQuest | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed FlyQuest | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed FlyQuest | 36c | 277.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 66c | 275$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Astralis | 66c | 274.91$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed FlyQuest | 11c | 268.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Astralis | 58c | 266.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FlyQuest | 13c | 261.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked FlyQuest | 25c | 233.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Astralis | 69c | 227.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed FlyQuest | 6c | 219.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Astralis | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 9c | 212.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Astralis | 60c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Astralis | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed FlyQuest | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Astralis | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Astralis | 65c | 175$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FlyQuest | 34c | 174.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed FlyQuest | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…ffdbbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 169.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed FlyQuest | 11c | 165.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed FlyQuest | 31c | 155.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…644ebacked Astralis | 64c | 155.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Astralis | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed FlyQuest | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…1f07backed FlyQuest | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Astralis | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Astralis | 68c | 147.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Astralis | 67c | 145.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Astralis | 66c | 134.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Astralis | 74c | 127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed FlyQuest | 36c | 126.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FlyQuest | 32c | 121.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked FlyQuest | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Astralis | 66c | 105.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Astralis | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed FlyQuest | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked FlyQuest | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed FlyQuest | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Astralis | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.