CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ad821e1178002708f8f36158dd00a7cffc42a2d50fa8e6c814286cd9cf602f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FlyQuest, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FlyQuest | 11c | 10,738$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.67 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FlyQuest | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 18c | 5,001$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed FlyQuest | 17c | 4,473$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.17 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked FlyQuest | 38c | 4,024$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.16 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed FlyQuest | 52c | 3,754$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 66c | 3,172$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.33 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Astralis | 67c | 2,513$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 32c | 2,285$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.49 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 64c | 2,219$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.83 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FlyQuest | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Astralis | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Astralis | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed FlyQuest | 28c | 857.28$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…1e2cbacked FlyQuest | 18c | 811.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 769.81$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.28 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Astralis | 70c | 719.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.35 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked Astralis | 68c | 592.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Astralis | 53c | 546$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed FlyQuest | 32c | 525.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Astralis | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed FlyQuest | 19c | 456.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 66c | 323.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FlyQuest | 18c | 299.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FlyQuest | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed FlyQuest | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FlyQuest | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17f…19c5backed FlyQuest | 59c | 148.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed Astralis | 69c | 145.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FlyQuest | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…56c0backed FlyQuest | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Astralis | 74c | 134.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…e56dbacked Astralis | 77c | 131.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed FlyQuest | 23c | 131.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed FlyQuest | 38c | 130.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Astralis | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked FlyQuest | 37c | 97.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Astralis | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 57c | 76.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked FlyQuest | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…fe4ebacked FlyQuest | 23c | 50.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Astralis | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Astralis | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…6696backed FlyQuest | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Astralis | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Astralis | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.