CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d88a489e3315e8c029e11ac1732acb5e21a8e45d6559bd754cf609e638fffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FlyQuest, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed FlyQuest | 14c | 2,864$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.44 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed FlyQuest | 35c | 2,700$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Astralis | 79c | 1,940$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 61c | 1,488$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.46 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked FlyQuest | 1c | 1,426$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed FlyQuest | 13c | 1,137$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 1,070$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.5 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed FlyQuest | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 51c | 629.93$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.77 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed FlyQuest | 58c | 555.62$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.26 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 59c | 355.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FlyQuest | 6c | 325$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FlyQuest | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 144.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked FlyQuest | 35c | 104.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Astralis | 70c | 99.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Astralis | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Astralis | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Astralis | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FlyQuest | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Astralis | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed FlyQuest | 31c | 45.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9abdbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Astralis | 78c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.