TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a7d…8ee2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$142
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$135.59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+181%+$109.5
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+265.9%+$39.97
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$85.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$56.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$75.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.18
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.31
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$10.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$39.72
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$31.6
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.74
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$7.44
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$7.8
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44%+$9.07
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$20.95
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$220.83
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66%+$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$724
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.