Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0db8c983b6e609a1d2f47bc8be76c90c67ea6fab5fd3dadfe59fb817a81353

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Liverpool FCof Liverpool FC, Crystal Palace FC
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool FC	36c	4,549$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,918.43	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Crystal Palace FC	67c	4,415$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.85	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Liverpool FC	39c	3,130$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,909.23	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Crystal Palace FC	70c	1,694$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.76	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Crystal Palace FC	70c	1,381$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.41	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Crystal Palace FC	64c	1,071$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.13	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Liverpool FC	28c	902.48$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.94	131	32.1%42 W · 89 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Liverpool FC	33c	786.76$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.53	1,615	34.9%564 W · 1,051 L	-28.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	781.28$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.58	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Crystal Palace FC	37c	700$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Liverpool FC	38c	540$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.8	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Crystal Palace FC	62c	429.97$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.58	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Liverpool FC	36c	427.25$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.33	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Liverpool FC	37c	337.54$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.98	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Liverpool FC	38c	329.38$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.21	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Crystal Palace FC	63c	297.3$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.3	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Liverpool FC	29c	296.76$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.7	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Crystal Palace FC	41c	290.39$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.29	162	38.3%62 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Liverpool FC	37c	260.05$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.83	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-6.8wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	220.36$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.66	553	51.9%287 W · 266 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	204.34$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Liverpool FC	32c	200$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	114	33.3%38 W · 76 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Liverpool FC	34c	196.49$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.53	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Crystal Palace FC	64c	195.68$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.24	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Crystal Palace FC	64c	191.09$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.3	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Liverpool FC	39c	185.06$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.89	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Crystal Palace FC	63c	160.93$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.44	697	42.5%296 W · 401 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	160.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	159.19$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	107	65.4%70 W · 37 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Liverpool FC	33c	150$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Crystal Palace FC	65c	146.83$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.03	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf853…8088backed Liverpool FC	37c	130.03$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.92	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	128.08$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.13	289	50.9%147 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Liverpool FC	38c	126.68$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.54	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Crystal Palace FC	60c	122$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83f3…9afebacked Crystal Palace FC	61c	120.54$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Liverpool FC	40c	120.5$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.3	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Crystal Palace FC	27c	119.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Crystal Palace FC	58c	114.24$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.26	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Crystal Palace FC	56c	111.27$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Crystal Palace FC	60c	106.79$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.07	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liverpool FC	30c	99.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.65	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Crystal Palace FC	61c	97.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.57	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Crystal Palace FC	62c	94.36$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Liverpool FC	39c	93.44$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Liverpool FC	42c	92.61$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.72	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Liverpool FC	30c	92.14$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.55	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f77…f668backed Crystal Palace FC	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Crystal Palace FC	62c	76.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Liverpool FC	40c	72.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.38	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Liverpool FC	40c	72.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.38	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liverpool FC	37c	70.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.4	1,589	53.3%847 W · 742 L	+39.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db0…7ff6backed Liverpool FC	29c	66.03$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.88	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Liverpool FC	49c	57.37$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.26	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Liverpool FC	37c	51.96$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Liverpool FC	38c	50.76$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Liverpool FC	38c	50.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.42	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked Crystal Palace FC	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Crystal Palace FC	61c	48.03$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liverpool FC	35c	45.72$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.72	964	45.4%438 W · 526 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f04…fe55backed Liverpool FC	46c	45.59$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Liverpool FC	34c	45.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.92	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Liverpool FC	27c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.66	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	40.02$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Liverpool FC	40c	38.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Liverpool FC	40c	30.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Crystal Palace FC	61c	29.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Crystal Palace FC	55c	24.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Crystal Palace FC	64c	22.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Crystal Palace FC	61c	22.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Crystal Palace FC	71c	22.28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7d…8ee2backed Crystal Palace FC	80c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.80per pick	80cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Crystal Palace FC	64c	19.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Crystal Palace FC	65c	19.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Crystal Palace FC	64c	19.57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Crystal Palace FC	61c	19.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Crystal Palace FC	69c	19.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Crystal Palace FC	54c	19.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Liverpool FC	77c	14.93$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.47	279	48%134 W · 145 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event