TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c3,782$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.6674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over64c3,058$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.73545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under37c2,675$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.576439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under36c2,413$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.744860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c2,119$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.81,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over55c2,100$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.983545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under39c1,794$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under47c1,022$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.411942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3104969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c985.13$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.076,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over51c968.3$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.4282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c908.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.16290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.721338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under37c761.64$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c746.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.024,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c698.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8575542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c658.74$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.422,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c554.29$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5896445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over64c547.9$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.255056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under21c412.58$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.642821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.562218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over53c359.46$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0619356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Over63c341.25$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.261758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over53c339.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1318651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under40c313.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3212652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Over64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.075056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11169651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under36c299.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10919145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c297.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c296.26$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5455351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under14c291.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.111553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+112.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over61c289.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4369742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda4…b658backed Under14c278.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under40c245.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.288144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c236.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8614055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over76c235.93$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6225256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c227.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.132951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over61c199.23$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over63c194.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.782157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under31c191.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.31225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under51c190.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under37c174.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7514553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under13c171.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.243928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8337…9aacbacked Over57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.514351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under38c133.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.755552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c130.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over59c127$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.072941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Under38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.142343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfebe…8bcabacked Under16c124.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over68c118.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.856041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over53c110.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.147254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over62c105.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.924252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over50c100.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8313250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Over75c98.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.112751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over64c93.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.577251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.213132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under37c83.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.721,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under36c82.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.538756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over60c81.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.252378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.527352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c74.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7555254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2335347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c71.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.231,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.035152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Under43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0740742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9725057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6211248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7e…76c0backed Over63c60.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over76c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under40c48.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.283259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47b2…4eb3backed Under35c48.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over62c47.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9713550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under45c43.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.332825%7 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over46c41.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.472962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.472846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under36c40.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.634841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over60c40.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.157847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c39.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3120864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over63c39.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4727846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under37c37.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.013737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.659549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over61c32.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.546175.4%46 W · 15 L+12.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493281.3%26 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4922156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4910857.4%62 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over64c30.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.016553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Under40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Under38c29.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+87.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over68c29.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4172658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over62c28.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.961662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…10d7backed Under51c28.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.