TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47b2…4eb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$248.4
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.11
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+203%+$199.99
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$292.99
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$126.76
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$175.72
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142.03
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$100
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$109.09
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$303.98
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.51
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$228
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$90.42
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29.75
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$102.44
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+54.6%+$106
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$65.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.