Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980421f2085968430646ac6b51da9720ed88e671951e4030ff5ee3d6ac312453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecf6…f077backed No | 0c | 23,665$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 2,480$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.09 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 47c | 1,281$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 78c | 1,268$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 53c | 1,263$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.66 | 299 | 62.5%187 W · 112 L | +34.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 967.58$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5176…9712backed Yes | 75c | 888.88$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 733.76$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.87 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…13bebacked No | 48c | 679.97$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…762bbacked No | 48c | 640$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 52c | 476.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 53c | 454.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 20c | 446.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…de24backed Yes | 53c | 443.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 13c | 411$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 78c | 392.59$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 152 | 42.8%65 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba4bbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 78c | 197.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed No | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 53c | 191.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 6c | 187.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 54c | 180.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked No | 48c | 155.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…044dbacked No | 49c | 141.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 78c | 109.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 52c | 107.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Yes | 79c | 107.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 79c | 97.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 48c | 94.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed No | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed No | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked Yes | 53c | 82.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 52c | 75.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 46c | 75.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed Yes | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed No | 23c | 69.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 76c | 66.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 65.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 48c | 63.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 62.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 53c | 62.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 49c | 59.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 52c | 55.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked No | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…4eb3backed No | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…66c1backed Yes | 53c | 46.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…d1a4backed Yes | 52c | 45.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed Yes | 51c | 45.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 47c | 42.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 48c | 40.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 329 | 59%194 W · 135 L | +28.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 48c | 36.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…87d3backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 48c | 32.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…36afbacked Yes | 53c | 30.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 675 | 53.8%363 W · 312 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…201ebacked Yes | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…cc27backed Yes | 53c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.