Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0885cc1ba202c3dede961cf6c9653b1ef1936a13cc89d896ffe3297bf1d00291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,704$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 31c | 2,474$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.93 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 62c | 1,187$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.66 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 69c | 1,084$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.72 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 72c | 1,029$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.13 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 53c | 917.15$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 72c | 599.61$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 30c | 587.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 521.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.61 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Over | 31c | 386.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 368.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 55c | 302.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 73c | 295.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 28c | 293.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 291.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 288.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 53c | 285.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 253.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 218.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Under | 70c | 205$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 58c | 197.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 60c | 168.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Over | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 62c | 158.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 27c | 149.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 52c | 140.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…41ddbacked Under | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 130.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Over | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b658backed Under | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 104.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 30c | 101.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked Under | 34c | 84.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 66c | 76.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 52c | 74.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 68.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 28c | 66.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 69c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…d14fbacked Under | 71c | 60.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 72c | 54.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…196abacked Under | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Under | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…b499backed Under | 73c | 52.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 68c | 50.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 48c | 48.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 46.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Under | 54c | 45.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 29c | 42.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 32c | 41.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Under | 47c | 41.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 36c | 39.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Under | 72c | 36.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 66c | 35.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 72c | 32.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 43c | 31.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 33c | 31.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Under | 73c | 30.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 69cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 69c | 25.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 76c | 20.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…8aa8backed Over | 67c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 72c | 14.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.