Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c2d26843b555272ac6d28bae0f4c7ad28f108c6d5ab85fac84846a6c11f8ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 8c | 8,617$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.88 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Over | 76c | 2,205$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 912.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 24c | 425.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 389.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 24c | 369.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 3c | 356.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 10c | 321.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 23c | 248.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 7c | 242.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Over | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 191.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 76c | 135.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 76c | 130.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 75c | 128.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…61cbbacked Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 25c | 68.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 76c | 56.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 76c | 56.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 75c | 55.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 53.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 52.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Under | 26c | 40.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 75c | 21.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 77c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 76c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Over | 76c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 75c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.