TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over50c65,346$32,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,516.65349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over50c49,718$24,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,858.982560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under50c30,365$15,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,182.63450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8a…2d30backed Under50c18,568$9,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,283.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under50c13,801$6,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900.59650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under51c8,768$4,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,491.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c7,829$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.1398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under50c7,413$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,673.35955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Over51c6,943$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c6,352$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.6532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.984351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c5,942$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.645752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over51c5,921$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over50c5,912$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c3,965$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.7710650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.158354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over51c3,806$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c3,492$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7461752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under49c3,335$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.111060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under1c3,013$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under51c2,865$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.731747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under49c2,797$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under49c2,722$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under50c2,675$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c2,669$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.929652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,597$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.7341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c2,475$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.147945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under11c2,333$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c2,212$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.81520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c2,199$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.422,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c1,868$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.831,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.783450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c1,824$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c1,778$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Under49c1,712$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,549$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.8368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under49c1,411$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc3…ff02backed Under51c1,294$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over53c1,263$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.0429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,213$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.073447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over53c1,003$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…60f7backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49024953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…a246backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under49c973.51$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.022857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Under50c881.73$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under49c878$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.223953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under29c853.88$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.822842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under10c775.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over58c732.02$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c729.44$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c699.7$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under50c699.7$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3414752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c612.94$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8611348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c555.69$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7342347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under8c526.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c520.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.113447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over51c475.54$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.011752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under30c468.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0614936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under49c460$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.47358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under12c428.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.394339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under50c389.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9714159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under4c374.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Under50c342.43$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c307.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under49c287.56$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Under30c287.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c284.74$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1336456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under50c276.85$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Under36c265.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c226.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.914860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over72c220.25$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under50c207.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.813020%6 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over52c196.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.132846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over51c192.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.43650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Over51c190.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c173.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5751139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under52c167.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.842751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eba…8dbebacked Over53c143.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.