NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c45f70980f263319038b8d1334f6525067251429276c51f12e20ffec11ed88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Heat, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,374,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,502,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,374,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Heat | 37c | 280,000$102,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,799.92 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 36c | 99,485$35,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,523.76 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 33c | 90,251$29,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,395.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 82,289$53,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,599.28 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Timberwolves | 64c | 70,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.97 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 64c | 65,686$41,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,918.04 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 38c | 63,780$24,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,377.05 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 63c | 60,272$37,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,419.79 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 59,383$35,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,347.21 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Heat | 37c | 57,151$21,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,145.77 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 65c | 43,545$28,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,351.9 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 41,711$24,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,506.49 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Timberwolves | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 38c | 35,903$13,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,681.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 64c | 34,076$21,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,129.76 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Timberwolves | 61c | 32,977$20,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,798.87 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Heat | 36c | 32,692$11,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,769.25 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.9 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Timberwolves | 63c | 29,883$18,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,032.96 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 65c | 29,715$19,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,533.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 72c | 28,439$20,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Heat | 36c | 25,633$9,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,154.58 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 64c | 25,462$16,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,280.87 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Timberwolves | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 24,716$15,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.42 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 24,430$15,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.19 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 24,164$15,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 72c | 23,600$17,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.46 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 64c | 22,500$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.88 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Heat | 37c | 21,745$8,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,046.87 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Heat | 35c | 20,001$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.35 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Heat | 40c | 20,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves | 59c | 20,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.9 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Timberwolves | 64c | 19,843$12,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.7 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 19,511$12,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,423.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Heat | 35c | 18,547$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.22 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 17,715$11,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.04 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Heat | 1c | 16,333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 61c | 16,000$9,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 32c | 15,600$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…8cbabacked Heat | 1c | 14,802$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 66c | 14,680$9,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Heat | 31c | 14,610$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.79 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 36c | 14,512$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 31c | 14,293$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.76 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 64c | 13,206$8,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.26 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 39c | 13,023$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136.23 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Heat | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Timberwolves | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 0c | 11,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Heat | 8c | 11,498$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.85 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Heat | 39c | 10,651$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 10,256$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.13 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Timberwolves | 61c | 10,049$6,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Timberwolves | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Heat | 31c | 8,043$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.21 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Heat | 33c | 7,900$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.97 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 72c | 7,623$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…62a4backed Heat | 9c | 7,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…fc74backed Timberwolves | 59c | 7,476$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 66c | 7,244$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Heat | 40c | 7,164$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.58 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…9ef7backed Timberwolves | 62c | 6,998$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…b60cbacked Heat | 24c | 6,972$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 65c | 6,888$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.95 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Timberwolves | 63c | 6,700$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Timberwolves | 76c | 6,555$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.2 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 21c | 6,533$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.65 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 6,371$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.41 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 37c | 6,274$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.85 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Heat | 33c | 6,160$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.77 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Heat | 37c | 6,045$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.99 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves | 63c | 5,663$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.61 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 30c | 5,656$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.53 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat | 36c | 5,653$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 60c | 5,520$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.95 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Heat | 38c | 5,443$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Heat | 4c | 5,400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Timberwolves | 64c | 5,314$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.04 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Timberwolves | 63c | 5,159$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.73 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 31c | 5,035$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.94 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Timberwolves | 60c | 5,005$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 70c | 4,994$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.24 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 61c | 4,970$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Heat | 13c | 4,829$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 4,715$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Heat | 41c | 4,615$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.39 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Heat | 40c | 4,472$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heat | 46c | 4,329$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.34 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Timberwolves | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 23c | 4,246$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.87 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 33c | 4,050$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Timberwolves | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Heat | 30c | 4,000$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.98 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,807$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.62 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Heat | 36c | 3,721$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.32 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.