NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd5dc14968eeaf246b63c4f1b2d94a4650b555fd235d5287c0ea3d28c3e3c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,147$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.33 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 51c | 10,005$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.53 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,940$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.99 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 6,464$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 50c | 6,020$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.15 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,894$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,489$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 49c | 4,052$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.69 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 51c | 3,449$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 51c | 2,866$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,837$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 51c | 2,804$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Heat | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,370$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.37 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,348$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.81 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Heat | 50c | 2,340$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 55c | 2,004$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Heat | 50c | 1,880$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,845$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,697$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Heat | 47c | 1,528$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Heat | 53c | 1,407$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,364$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.83 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 50c | 1,199$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.68 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 48c | 1,081$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Heat | 61c | 1,064$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.46 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 53c | 988.09$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Heat | 51c | 973.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Heat | 54c | 924.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 791.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.92 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heat | 48c | 704$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Heat | 51c | 686.37$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.83 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 49c | 641.96$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Heat | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Heat | 48c | 575$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.94 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Heat | 46c | 556.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.82 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 49c | 514.86$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.58 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Heat | 45c | 418$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…1dafbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 397$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Heat | 50c | 397$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…e77fbacked Heat | 50c | 395$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…a7d1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 395$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Heat | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Heat | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…9b52backed Heat | 50c | 372$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9db1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 372$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…6e5ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…6bbebacked Heat | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…e9f3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…ad65backed Heat | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 33c | 349.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 337.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Heat | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Heat | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 47c | 310$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Heat | 48c | 306.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 300.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Timberwolves | 42c | 277.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 217.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Heat | 49c | 211.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 52c | 189.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Timberwolves | 49c | 186.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Timberwolves | 65c | 178.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Timberwolves | 51c | 170.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Heat | 52c | 159.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 156.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…0819backed Heat | 54c | 139.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…2b47backed Heat | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 129.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…d05dbacked Heat | 51c | 122.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Heat | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Heat | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Heat | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Heat | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Timberwolves | 50c | 91.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Heat | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Timberwolves | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…1df8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 75.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Heat | 51c | 72.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…f6c7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 70.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- Heat vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.