NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ec925cc78462a231c48df5e1a18e2b919b2bba44554e38c10547131e78c3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9315…a744backed Over | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Under | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,834$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 4,469$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2052backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd9…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…5626backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80a8backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…5ecebacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 3,449$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 3,170$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 2,960$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.06 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 52c | 2,905$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.58 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Under | 49c | 2,584$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,490$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.78 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 48c | 1,246$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.92 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 801.92$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 774$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 728$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 51c | 588.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fddabacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 556$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 516$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 440.12$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…e025backed Under | 49c | 371.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 7c | 343.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…79d5backed Under | 49c | 334.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 282$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 250.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…2871backed Under | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 62c | 193.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Over | 51c | 191.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 153.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…6a1dbacked Over | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 111.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 109.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 100.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 95.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 88.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 56c | 79.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 30c | 76.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Over | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 53c | 52.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 37c | 50.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 41.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 51c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 40.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…0899backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…728ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 71c | 28.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Over | 51c | 22.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…c789backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5this page
- Heat vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.