NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae45005340f6a953041a4c9de9b696c531ea04fb7b04c4b1f7a553f6525b26a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 52c | 63,398$33,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,226.19 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 10,149$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 48c | 9,465$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.83 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,942$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,644$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Heat | 53c | 5,220$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.59 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 51c | 4,662$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Heat | 52c | 4,412$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Heat | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,848$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.44 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,780$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.37 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…88d4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,309$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 2,930$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 54c | 2,883$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 52c | 2,478$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.14 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 41c | 2,395$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,011$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…9d67backed Heat | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Heat | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 38c | 1,965$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.23 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,955$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,295$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.74 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Heat | 54c | 1,241$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.36 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Heat | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,083$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Heat | 53c | 998.74$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.72 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Heat | 58c | 864.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Timberwolves | 52c | 774.21$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.62 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Heat | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Heat | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Timberwolves | 44c | 568.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.52 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 374.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…8a40backed Heat | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 39c | 318.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Heat | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 49c | 247.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Heat | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…88cfbacked Heat | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 51c | 169.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…84d8backed Heat | 59c | 122.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 117.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf190…255fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Heat | 63c | 110.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Heat | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Heat | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Heat | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…8d18backed Heat | 58c | 86.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Timberwolves | 39c | 83.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 44c | 80.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Heat | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 50c | 72.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Heat | 52c | 63.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Heat | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 55c | 59.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Heat | 55c | 57.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…6188backed Heat | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Heat | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Heat | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…df55backed Timberwolves | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Heat | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…6401backed Timberwolves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…db70backed Heat | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 38.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Heat | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Timberwolves | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…8ca5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 32.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…cc5bbacked Heat | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…bf49backed Heat | 49c | 28.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed Heat | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Heat | 52c | 27.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed Timberwolves | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Timberwolves | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Heat | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Heat | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Heat | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Heat | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- Heat vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.