NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62a0e49a5a0f008ae477ac6511fe93ce6d43c695f32c14deb565841900db8fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Timberwolves, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,692,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,742,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,692,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 300,283$123,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,573.98 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Timberwolves | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Knicks | 59c | 110,666$65,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,373.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Knicks | 60c | 103,000$61,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,599.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves | 30c | 90,001$27,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,250.1 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Timberwolves | 41c | 69,151$28,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,440.9 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Knicks | 61c | 62,257$38,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,054.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Knicks | 59c | 60,075$35,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,589 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Timberwolves | 12c | 50,029$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.91 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 60c | 41,109$24,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,485.79 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Timberwolves | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Timberwolves | 40c | 38,829$15,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,531.68 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 28,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 24,243$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.93 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 58c | 23,722$13,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,963.1 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Knicks | 64c | 21,613$13,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.78 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Knicks | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Timberwolves | 5c | 20,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Timberwolves | 26c | 19,622$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.33 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 80c | 19,250$15,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks | 58c | 17,828$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.76 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Timberwolves | 37c | 17,024$6,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380.93 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Timberwolves | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Timberwolves | 28c | 14,501$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.87 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 40c | 13,990$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.27 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Knicks | 58c | 12,852$7,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.38 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks | 74c | 12,701$9,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.78 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 12,600$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.39 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 36c | 12,377$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.42 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Knicks | 60c | 12,145$7,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Timberwolves | 42c | 11,770$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Knicks | 59c | 9,778$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Knicks | 61c | 9,640$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.65 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 38c | 9,622$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.41 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Timberwolves | 14c | 9,453$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.22 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Knicks | 65c | 8,308$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…0739backed Knicks | 46c | 7,858$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…38b2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 7,833$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 24c | 7,469$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Knicks | 72c | 7,124$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.61 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 59c | 7,045$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.82 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Timberwolves | 43c | 6,995$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.86 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 64c | 6,778$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Knicks | 60c | 6,578$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 6,499$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.88 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 6,493$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.24 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Knicks | 59c | 6,184$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 71c | 6,075$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Knicks | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks | 59c | 5,930$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Timberwolves | 41c | 5,608$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Timberwolves | 39c | 5,144$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.67 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 5,122$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 16c | 4,885$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Knicks | 58c | 4,585$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.12 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Knicks | 57c | 4,538$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.89 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Knicks | 60c | 4,406$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.49 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 43c | 4,250$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.5 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 42c | 4,241$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.03 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Knicks | 79c | 4,164$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.65 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 37c | 4,118$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 43c | 4,013$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.84 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Knicks | 62c | 4,008$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,000$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.66 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Knicks | 63c | 4,000$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.98 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Knicks | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.94 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…9411backed Knicks | 58c | 3,953$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Knicks | 66c | 3,736$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Knicks | 61c | 3,600$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Knicks | 56c | 3,582$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.59 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 64c | 3,530$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Knicks | 64c | 3,500$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.99 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks | 55c | 3,464$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.88 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 41c | 3,433$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.53 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 38c | 3,089$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Knicks | 47c | 3,022$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.16 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Knicks | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Knicks | 62c | 2,833$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.09 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…4808backed Timberwolves | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Knicks | 55c | 2,736$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.27 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,719$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.06 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Knicks | 59c | 2,450$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Knicks | 62c | 2,323$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.71 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks | 59c | 2,277$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.71 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…a12ebacked Knicks | 80c | 2,103$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 60c | 2,067$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…19e8backed Knicks | 51c | 2,060$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks | 71c | 2,051$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 2,015$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Timberwolves | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Timberwolves | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,980$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Knicksthis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.