NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a94d8fa5cb4d339aaac84ab997b8f39975084229fe68fb9888811e3281fbf09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,754,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,858,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,754,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,425,592$683,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683,950.19 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rockets | 54c | 700,000$376,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323,999.95 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lakers | 46c | 573,686$263,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,895.69 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 51c | 295,441$152,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,415.87 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Rockets | 53c | 196,647$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,646.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 53c | 167,214$89,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,887.76 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Rockets | 52c | 161,578$83,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,273.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers | 44c | 140,415$61,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,681.1 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Rockets | 57c | 135,997$77,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,838.79 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 55c | 116,160$63,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,328.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Lakers | 45c | 111,111$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 54c | 104,355$56,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,837.95 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,999.97 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 54c | 86,400$46,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,172 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 6c | 75,661$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.3 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 44c | 73,121$32,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,317.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Lakers | 49c | 71,641$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 42c | 68,249$28,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,704.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 53c | 67,001$35,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,265.47 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rockets | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Lakers | 45c | 50,769$22,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,845.97 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 54c | 46,652$25,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,625.58 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 45c | 46,370$20,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,757.64 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 41c | 44,000$18,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,239.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Rockets | 51c | 41,103$20,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,140.64 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 56c | 40,139$22,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,782.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rockets | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Lakers | 45c | 39,387$17,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,912.97 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lakers | 43c | 39,155$16,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,836.66 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rockets | 57c | 36,272$20,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,622.17 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 43c | 34,902$14,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,857.2 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 56c | 29,853$16,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,233.83 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Rockets | 74c | 28,162$20,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.02 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 53c | 26,586$14,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,575.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Lakers | 44c | 25,200$11,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,140 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Rockets | 57c | 25,200$14,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,888 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lakers | 14c | 25,093$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.9 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 35c | 24,442$8,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,532.47 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 52c | 23,100$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,009.15 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Rockets | 56c | 22,891$12,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,161.18 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Rockets | 64c | 22,560$14,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.59 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 54c | 22,470$12,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 10c | 21,602$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets | 53c | 21,321$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,020.75 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Rockets | 70c | 21,300$14,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.98 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 5c | 21,230$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.54 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 54c | 20,267$11,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,246.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rockets | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Lakers | 32c | 19,221$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Rockets | 54c | 19,000$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,739.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Lakers | 48c | 18,903$9,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,073.61 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets | 53c | 18,787$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.5 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 52c | 17,926$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,594.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets | 61c | 17,555$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.62 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 44c | 17,130$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.2 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets | 53c | 15,800$8,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,484 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Lakers | 44c | 15,050$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,671.97 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Rockets | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 54c | 14,600$7,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,761.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers | 1c | 13,933$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…622fbacked Rockets | 57c | 13,509$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Rockets | 53c | 13,377$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockets | 55c | 13,295$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.18 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Rockets | 57c | 12,259$6,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.36 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 43c | 11,907$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Rockets | 57c | 11,400$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 0c | 11,399$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 57c | 11,025$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lakers | 46c | 11,000$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.74 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Rockets | 60c | 10,369$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.74 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Lakers | 48c | 10,313$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Lakers | 44c | 10,227$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Lakers | 41c | 10,227$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.76 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Rockets | 55c | 10,080$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Rockets | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets | 55c | 9,871$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.18 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…0308backed Rockets | 69c | 9,815$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers | 49c | 9,749$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Rockets | 53c | 9,444$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Lakers | 45c | 9,379$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.55 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 52c | 9,211$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.12 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 67c | 8,880$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…efe6backed Rockets | 57c | 8,798$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Rockets | 55c | 8,303$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.35 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 20c | 8,183$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers | 43c | 8,140$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.2 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Rockets | 56c | 8,000$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.96 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers | 1c | 7,950$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Rockets | 56c | 7,886$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.71 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Lakers | 34c | 7,766$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.3 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rockets | 53c | 7,736$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.09 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed Rockets | 56c | 7,600$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lakers | 5c | 7,517$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…9db6backed Rockets | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Lakers | 47c | 7,447$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.16 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Lakers | 47c | 7,146$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.44 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…8ffbbacked Lakers | 47c | 7,092$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.