TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3349…c0b8backed Under49c6,000$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.87048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under47c4,868$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.0933447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0801…fd93backed Under51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0091741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9a…5ecebacked Over49c4,100$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0091947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over49c3,317$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.0220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c2,539$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c2,415$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under54c2,254$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.051,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over53c1,885$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.512147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over51c1,821$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.729652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under45c1,096$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.5654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c779.95$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over44c683$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2613835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c599$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c497$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under47c434.66$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c390.61$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.171,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under77c341$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under49c310$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.143052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c270$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad0…d5bfbacked Over55c245.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under53c230.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028063.6%178 W · 102 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over52c148.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0316641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under47c142$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.269258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.66855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under46c130.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.667448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed Under50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663e…d35bbacked Over51c117$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under45c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.349560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over55c103.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…f1ecbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63ab…d322backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.249446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Over42c94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.29828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Over54c92.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24a3…e8dbbacked Over54c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.634447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over54c79.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under46c76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.048450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce0…501fbacked Over52c74.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under48c73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.969050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c71.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over50c64.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4636854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Over51c63.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.512454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under55c57.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.662646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under47c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.217441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c56.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x080a…a2e8backed Under48c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c53.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under54c48.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Over54c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Over54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.225651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over54c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.222152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over55c42.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4820456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.683129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over53c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.261723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over53c41.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c41.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.992,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.143339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.322737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Over45c39.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6834246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under49c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c38.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.145448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.245552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7e…1505backed Over55c36.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.084643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Over54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.443250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.723240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Over54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Over54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.822437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over79c31.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over55c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.523651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…59fcbacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over53c29.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6587950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Over52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under43c26.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.