TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4818…fde0backed Over53c12,000$6,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,342.0651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Over53c11,197$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90022458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c10,561$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,540.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over50c10,503$5,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c10,003$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.52,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c31…2a62backed Under50c9,955$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,964.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over52c8,582$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under48c6,750$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over51c4,132$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.412,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c2,932$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c2,479$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c1,709$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7592,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under53c1,523$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.693,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over52c1,342$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over50c1,163$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c1,145$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5152,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over54c912.39$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under49c899.99$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under57c725.42$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under47c638.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c623$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under49c621.48$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c599.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8233447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Over51c585.7$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7124048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c457.74$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over52c423$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c400.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.546258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15927247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c299.35$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.561,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under49c277$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2723250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under47c267.92$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c219.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4210057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c207$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.712,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Over52c203.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0711647.4%55 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Over52c193.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4947048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under50c192$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.546053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over53c186.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0118954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under49c168$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.689258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over56c154.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.453342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over52c150.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2918536.2%67 W · 118 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under49c148$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.486839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under48c141$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.328052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under48c132.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over47c105.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.550648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under48c105.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3393849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.823153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.844949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under48c82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over54c81.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over52c76.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.755646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.663759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.113644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over50c55.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6716641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over53c51.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2810234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.512054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over52c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.444148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Under48c46.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0112654%68 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…d0c8backed Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Over52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Over52c36.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0831250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.