NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6dba06b7d28983e49c3a292d13d260854067fb5a3b31829da6cff8e612853b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 31c | 1,752$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.86 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 68c | 1,463$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 967.18$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Over | 71c | 497$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.87 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…048abacked Over | 68c | 294.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 34c | 272.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 68c | 212.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 20c | 208.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 54c | 183.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 68c | 162.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…b73abacked Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Over | 67c | 148.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 148.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 15c | 135.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 115.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…d110backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…47a3backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 55c | 82.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 80c | 81.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -15.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Over | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 76c | 56.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 33c | 32.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 27.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Over | 50c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…276fbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.