NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb97c06d5b22085a3b56f6dd37047e129be34b7c9a4af0e641e9aa79765cc2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Over | 59c | 11,030$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 8c | 4,957$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,437$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,281$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…265bbacked Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 58c | 1,675$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.43 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 66c | 1,297$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.59 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Over | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.75 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 53c | 1,087$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 1,009$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 51c | 479.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Over | 58c | 474.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 57c | 418$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 382.29$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 343.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 329$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 34c | 300.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 248.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 42c | 240.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 208$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 204.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Over | 9c | 203.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 45c | 203.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 12c | 163.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…3224backed Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 44c | 156.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 44c | 149$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 111.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Under | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 86.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 69c | 69.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…17f3backed Over | 49c | 64.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 57.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 42c | 44.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d0…44e9backed Over | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…f533backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6c…9bd6backed Under | 46c | 28.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Over | 57c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.