NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed6e7d596ec9570c755ab44f61e8580a6a8459cc0b54f4db54487ded1b63a42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 54c | 53,159$28,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,743.73 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Lakers | 57c | 52,777$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Rockets | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Rockets | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 46c | 9,793$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.31 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lakers | 58c | 6,908$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 42c | 6,259$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.12 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 44c | 5,885$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.95 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Lakers | 56c | 5,450$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Rockets | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 43c | 4,224$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Rockets | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Rockets | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Lakers | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…982dbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80a8backed Rockets | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…6bdcbacked Rockets | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Lakers | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Lakers | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2052backed Rockets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Lakers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lakers | 55c | 3,989$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.75 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…103dbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,900$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…da41backed Rockets | 49c | 3,700$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 44c | 3,510$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.45 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 46c | 3,383$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 56c | 3,173$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Rockets | 42c | 2,423$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.07 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,171$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.57 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 46c | 2,132$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Lakers | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Rockets | 45c | 1,996$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Lakers | 56c | 1,867$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.45 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,829$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 43c | 1,697$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.71 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lakers | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Rockets | 46c | 1,407$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.94 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 42c | 1,354$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…c02fbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,261$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,195$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d13…3acebacked Lakers | 56c | 1,195$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 43c | 1,118$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Rockets | 44c | 1,006$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.18 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Rockets | 44c | 1,000$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rockets | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 54c | 850$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 43c | 652.82$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.07 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Lakers | 74c | 617$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Rockets | 26c | 580.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.61 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 46c | 575$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Lakers | 56c | 532.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Rockets | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Rockets | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Rockets | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…82c4backed Lakers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Lakers | 59c | 320.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Rockets | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Lakers | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Rockets | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed Lakers | 54c | 278.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Rockets | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Lakers | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Rockets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Rockets | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 54c | 209.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Rockets | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Rockets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Rockets | 45c | 186.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Lakers | 55c | 176.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Lakers | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 44c | 166.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Rockets | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Lakers | 56c | 139$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Rockets | 55c | 127.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Lakers | 56c | 127.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Lakers | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Lakers | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Rockets | 46c | 100.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…54a1backed Rockets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Lakers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lakers | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lakers | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Rockets | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Lakers | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Rockets | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Rockets | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Lakers | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Lakers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Lakers | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.