TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$528,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c249,368$127,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,245.381,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c241,449$118,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,338.461,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under49c41,190$20,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,18328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over51c37,756$19,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,522.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under49c37,118$18,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,208.8363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over51c35,390$18,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,341.1225248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c28,091$13,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,789.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c20,877$8,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,728.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c19,031$9,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,325.3690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c14,273$7,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,994.0132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over69c10,378$7,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.3416846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c10,050$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.7758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c9,516$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.671,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c9,217$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.151,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over53c6,140$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.44949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over55c5,214$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.4619937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under49c5,027$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.4732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under22c4,600$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.6527937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdbf3…4918backed Over50c4,074$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c4,056$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under17c4,039$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.971,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under50c4,019$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.581,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c3,415$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c3,063$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.671,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under41c2,960$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.051,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over51c2,780$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.115850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x159b…8566backed Over50c2,467$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over50c2,452$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.8821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under50c2,356$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.1722349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c2,227$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.412,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under51c2,038$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.5117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under44c2,020$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.0121142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c2,015$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.3718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c1,964$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.1370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c1,943$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under50c1,861$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.6512257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,800$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.32,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over51c1,740$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.485850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over58c1,682$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.2617246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c1,669$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.4782442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under2c1,658$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under18c1,572$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.923030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under50c1,552$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c1,516$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c1,505$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.8995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c1,502$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75134850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Over57c1,441$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over49c1,417$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under47c1,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over50c1,352$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.3238453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Over62c1,325$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.273933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under10c1,237$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.579542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under56c1,210$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.617150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under51c1,202$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.8216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under50c1,176$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.827452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over50c1,161$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5520051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Under36c1,140$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.856142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,112$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56114338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c1,077$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under31c992.68$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.120744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Under51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Under51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0126444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under14c963.47$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c949.68$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under50c948.1$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.054257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under18c946.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under31c891.79$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4726034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c874.94$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under29c863.14$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.698027.5%22 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c837.79$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c819.11$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.551,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7636852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over50c705.11$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5617147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over51c698.12$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under44c658.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9218842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c589.55$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Over51c582.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c564.18$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…1d22backed Over50c554.84$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c545.18$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.241,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over80c494.75$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9512542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c488.88$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54c…a355backed Over58c478.24$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fa…b277backed Under51c475.77$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.65825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Under50c460.72$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.885145.1%23 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Over79c443.98$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.242330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under44c441.47$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under51c424.05$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.37856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c400.71$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2450239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.515633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over51c371.49$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0321354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x578f…eafabacked Under34c337.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.751030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Under9c316.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.369048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.