NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0563f98d43f86d5f6797e075745dfcac094abf182a39ba03df95e85206635462

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sunsof Thunder, Suns
Resolved: Apr 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,347,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,331,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,347,431 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Suns	49c	646,048$314,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331,525.28	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Thunder	52c	482,207$250,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250,175.55	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Suns	47c	342,047$160,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181,284.74	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder	51c	197,753$101,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101,587.85	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder	53c	154,471$82,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,611	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Suns	49c	153,998$75,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,539.2	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder	41c	124,308$50,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,624.43	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder	54c	115,846$62,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,556.89	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns	48c	115,000$54,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,249.75	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Suns	44c	103,540$45,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,060.87	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Suns	46c	90,985$42,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,924.01	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Thunder	51c	80,000$40,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,800	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder	49c	55,456$27,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,076.97	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Thunder	52c	51,969$27,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,023.83	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder	54c	50,421$27,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,227.2	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Suns	47c	50,000$23,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,500	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Suns	47c	50,000$23,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,499.98	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Thunder	51c	38,063$19,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,412	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder	51c	31,059$15,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,840.19	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder	52c	29,603$15,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,393.35	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder	52c	28,015$14,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,568	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns	44c	21,656$9,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,125.57	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Suns	48c	21,478$10,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,101.02	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Thunder	51c	21,353$10,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,890.13	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Thunder	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder	52c	18,677$9,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,712	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder	52c	18,648$9,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,664.46	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder	52c	18,304$9,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,518.04	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…be4ebacked Thunder	53c	18,275$9,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,685.93	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder	58c	17,037$9,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,856.97	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Suns	46c	17,030$7,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,196.1	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Suns	48c	15,830$7,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,231.49	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Suns	46c	15,565$7,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,374.94	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Thunder	77c	15,506$11,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,878.73	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Suns	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,950	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder	50c	14,084$7,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,110.57	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Thunder	52c	13,847$7,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,247.49	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Suns	49c	11,306$5,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,766.12	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder	53c	10,623$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,610.17	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Suns	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder	52c	9,712$5,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,050.24	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder	52c	9,338$4,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,856	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns	46c	9,290$4,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,992.89	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Suns	49c	8,006$3,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,050.21	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns	49c	7,755$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,955.15	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder	51c	7,613$3,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,882.4	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.99	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Thunder	53c	5,620$2,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,978.5	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Thunder	54c	5,500$2,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	51c	5,412$2,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,777.36	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns	59c	5,119$3,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,078.32	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6732…d7f0backed Thunder	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Thunder	52c	4,913$2,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,534.92	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Thunder	51c	4,079$2,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080.51	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Thunder	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a3…b19abacked Suns	55c	3,943$2,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Suns	49c	3,928$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,988.72	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder	52c	3,884$2,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.64	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns	49c	3,878$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977.58	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Suns	48c	3,688$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.77	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Thunder	54c	3,597$1,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.66	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Suns	48c	3,488$1,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,805.99	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Suns	53c	3,447$1,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.84	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Suns	46c	3,400$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,835.93	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Thunder	53c	3,225$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.47	93	57%53 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Suns	48c	3,191$1,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,668.56	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Thunder	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Thunder	54c	2,723$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.27	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Thunder	53c	2,604$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380.32	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Suns	46c	2,500$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Suns	32c	2,500$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.7	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Thunder	53c	2,389$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.93	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Thunder	54c	2,328$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.27	174	58%101 W · 73 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	52c	2,153$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.65	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Suns	50c	2,097$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.99	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Suns	49c	2,020$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.25	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Thunder	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	46c	1,896$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Suns	54c	1,799$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.41	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Thunder	53c	1,713$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.47	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder	46c	1,675$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.56	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Suns	45c	1,550$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.5	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92eb…9668backed Thunder	49c	1,529$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.57	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	36cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Thunder	8c	1,500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder	52c	1,388$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.6	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Thunder	52c	1,307$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.84	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Thunder	53c	1,300$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.1wins	-0.27per pick	48cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Thunder	31c	1,271$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.63	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder	56c	1,217$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.22	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Suns	46c	1,121$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.21	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder	53c	1,084$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.39	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Thunder	53c	1,082$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.23	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Suns	47c	1,030$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.9	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Thunder	51c	1,030$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.2	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Thunder	48c	1,010$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.39	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked Suns	13c	1,000$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+29%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Thunder	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder	51c	999.98$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Thunder	51c	999.95$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.97	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Suns	48c	999.95$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.97	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5No won
Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Suns won
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Suns won
Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event