TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c175,171$82,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,467.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f0…bad3backed Over53c74,327$39,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,933.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over53c59,142$31,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,796.691,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c18,336$9,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,617.8590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c13,752$7,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,463.3932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c9,168$4,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.921,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c8,859$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.941,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c5,050$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over71c4,787$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,012$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c3,910$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c3,387$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.862,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c2,754$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over72c2,720$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.766764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over54c2,361$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.4644052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.072259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9820948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.947156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.651,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c1,557$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.71,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under49c1,485$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6820744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under22c1,477$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over62c1,376$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0112540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Over52c1,375$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over52c1,347$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.718339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c1,177$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over51c1,165$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.716031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under4c1,117$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.139542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0729848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.895154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…a222backed Over49c1,066$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.581947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…97a5backed Under15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c964.3$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.583,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under19c951.4$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7717042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9b…3050backed Under14c947.74$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c933.62$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1443348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under46c845.31$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8416039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under49c824.41$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.257150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under48c804.1$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.975341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over61c801.65$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3714254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over52c799.99$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38411757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Under7c783.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6119443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over52c751.62$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2223251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.715633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under47c678.38$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over55c641.12$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c633$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.645743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over53c588.93$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.812257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over51c586.83$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over51c565.86$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2714049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over78c547.74$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under18c529.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.393935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c475.3$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55c…0e0abacked Under50c465.64$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under7c463.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over51c462.01$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c461.83$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over53c458.58$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.646656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c451.93$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under46c431.85$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6516642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under19c403.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over50c403.54$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.778652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over53c396.05$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1521950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde75…c493backed Under50c389.49$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over51c386.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2919348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2b…944fbacked Over50c380.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.129652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e8…d7bbbacked Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf662…b513backed Under50c380.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe43c…c39dbacked Over51c377.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5bc…03c1backed Over51c377.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28f…5572backed Under50c373.76$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.336450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba8…5edebacked Under50c371.65$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c367.43$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over53c366.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3521354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8643…762cbacked Under50c364.45$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…b029backed Over51c363.35$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ef…a240backed Under51c362.13$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3753…6a9fbacked Over51c361.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c358.9$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c352.86$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over51c308.54$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1838942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over80c303.47$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.541,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c302.05$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.81,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.