NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d87bca4fdb59ce4a91fd4f5bd5ca7ddd19a15097ff2f7b508bca3df99911b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 16,802$9,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,063.09 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 10,790$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 3,735$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 9c | 3,574$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.95 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,445$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 1c | 1,810$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 23c | 1,402$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.94 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Under | 14c | 1,220$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 75c | 1,183$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 875.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 60c | 669.48$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 42c | 600.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 600$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 42c | 563.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 520.45$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 505.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Over | 61c | 499.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.66 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Over | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…1cb7backed Over | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 42c | 491.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 43c | 490.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Over | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 39c | 372.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 10c | 344.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 10c | 343.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 34c | 337.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Over | 65c | 334.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…ee7bbacked Under | 13c | 308.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +244.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Over | 60c | 293.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 69c | 284.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…6de9backed Over | 73c | 269.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 58c | 225.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 59c | 203.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 59c | 176.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 61c | 166.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 59c | 165.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…bedabacked Over | 60c | 163.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 44c | 153.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Over | 70c | 140.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 55c | 139.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 72c | 135.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 43c | 126.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 42c | 122.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…c057backed Under | 43c | 117.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94f…25f6backed Under | 9c | 117.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…a850backed Over | 59c | 115.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…0207backed Under | 43c | 114.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 60c | 112.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 44c | 103.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 40c | 103.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 42c | 99.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…45ffbacked Over | 59c | 96.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…ffd7backed Over | 59c | 87.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…98a6backed Over | 59c | 80.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613d…267fbacked Under | 43c | 74.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 80c | 74.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 43c | 72.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 71.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…318ebacked Over | 59c | 70.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 61c | 68.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 60c | 66.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…1904backed Under | 42c | 64.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…027bbacked Under | 44c | 63.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 43c | 62.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…9389backed Over | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 70c | 57.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 56.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…7f82backed Over | 59c | 49.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -11.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 43c | 48.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 32c | 48.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…76a1backed Under | 42c | 47.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…2becbacked Under | 43c | 45.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Under | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…225ebacked Under | 43c | 42.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 43c | 37.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 34c | 35.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 58c | 35.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…ebcfbacked Under | 42c | 35.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.