NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ff908ba1bc219601de3aca788d6998e4a870ffd2ae11a784371c65fa8d5aff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 50c | 76,991$38,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,293.93 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 48c | 68,984$33,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,017.89 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 49c | 62,863$30,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,815.73 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 49c | 47,718$23,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,364.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Suns | 53c | 32,659$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,259.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 51c | 30,450$15,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,924.87 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 26,190$13,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,095 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 50c | 25,642$12,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820.47 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder | 50c | 23,939$11,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,969.64 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Suns | 51c | 22,761$11,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,112.33 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 51c | 22,546$11,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,047.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Suns | 53c | 15,616$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,339.56 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns | 53c | 13,882$7,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.53 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Thunder | 47c | 12,772$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 54c | 11,832$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.75 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Suns | 51c | 10,691$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.89 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Suns | 54c | 10,445$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.7 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 46c | 10,283$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.18 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 50c | 9,435$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.15 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 49c | 9,229$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.74 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Thunder | 54c | 8,832$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 8,274$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder | 50c | 7,675$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.32 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Thunder | 48c | 7,447$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.66 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 51c | 6,493$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Thunder | 47c | 5,906$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder | 32c | 5,717$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.19 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 49c | 5,531$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.84 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 59c | 5,399$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Suns | 53c | 5,171$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.23 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Thunder | 49c | 4,748$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.56 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Thunder | 47c | 4,736$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Suns | 58c | 3,963$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.28 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Thunder | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +324.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 52c | 3,941$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 49c | 3,892$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.32 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 50c | 3,673$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.94 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Thunder | 47c | 3,241$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.64 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,865$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.52 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,784$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.44 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 47c | 2,756$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.45 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Suns | 54c | 2,739$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.06 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Suns | 54c | 2,726$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.84 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Thunder | 49c | 2,679$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder | 49c | 2,518$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.05 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…2798backed Suns | 40c | 2,484$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 47c | 2,476$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…f3d0backed Suns | 53c | 2,430$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Thunder | 45c | 2,364$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.93 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Suns | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Thunder | 48c | 2,200$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.98 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Suns | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.89 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,147$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.86 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Thunder | 47c | 2,077$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.19 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 38c | 2,039$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.37 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 46c | 1,980$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,976$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.98 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Suns | 51c | 1,971$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.92 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Suns | 53c | 1,856$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.97 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Suns | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 47c | 1,785$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.28 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 52c | 1,782$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.29 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 49c | 1,782$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 54c | 1,767$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.9 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Thunder | 49c | 1,677$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.76 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…a355backed Suns | 55c | 1,666$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Suns | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.38 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,461$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.53 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 50c | 1,353$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 12c | 1,298$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Suns | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.25 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Suns | 39c | 1,233$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.45 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…0cdfbacked Suns | 58c | 1,186$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 47c | 1,180$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.59 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 50c | 1,112$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,065$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.07 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Thunder | 31c | 1,003$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Suns | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 54c | 998.62$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.25 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Suns | 52c | 998.55$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 48c | 981.88$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.3 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 46c | 940.85$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Thunder | 46c | 934.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.89 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…40b9backed Suns | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Suns | 52c | 897.73$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Thunder | 50c | 888.97$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.49 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Thunder | 51c | 849.29$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.69 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 53c | 797.83$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Thunder | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Suns | 20c | 719.65$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Thunder | 48c | 719.37$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Suns | 51c | 687.97$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Thunder | 50c | 678.28$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Thunder | 47c | 617.65$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.29 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Suns | 52c | 608.4$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Thunder | 46c | 591.17$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 50c | 589.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.46 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Thunder | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.